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RIRIVN

What Rivian Automotive promised, and what happened

Guidance Tracker · every commitment management made on a call, tracked from the quarter it was made

Guidance

What management said, and what became of it

13 of 13 judged targets kept · 23 open · verdicts reflect calls analysed to Jun 2026.

TargetOriginal wordingSaidLatest callVerdict
1H FY2026 quarterly delivery guidanceapproximately 9,000 to 11,000 vehicles per quarterDec 2025Jun 2026:Delivery results topped our 9,000 to 11,000 vehicle expectations due to robust growth quarter-over-quarter in EDV and R1, coupled with the introduction of R2 deliveries.
Call transcript, Jun 2026 · no direct link
Achieved
FY2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance$1.8 billion to $2.1 billion lossDec 2025Jun 2026:we expect an adjusted EBITDA loss of between $2 billion to $1.8 billion, a $50 million improvement at the midpoint
Call transcript, Jun 2026 · no direct link
Revised Up
Georgia facility vertical construction startearly part of 2026Jun 2025Jun 2026:In Georgia, construction of our next manufacturing site is progressing well.
Call transcript, Jun 2026 · no direct link
On Track

A verdict describes what became of management’s own words in later analysed calls. “Delayed” is a change of date, “went quiet” a target the calls stopped mentioning. None of it is a judgement on the investment. The methodology sets out how verdicts are recorded.

The full ledger

Open Rivian Automotive’s full ledger

A free account opens 5 company ledgers a month. All 36 tracked commitments, with each call’s wording and source.

The rest of the ledger

Pro opens all 36 tracked commitments for Rivian Automotive

Above is what the last two calls moved. Pro adds every quarter's revision, the source quote behind each one, and the topics management has stopped answering.