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SMSMG

What Scotts Miracle-Gro promised, and what happened

Guidance Tracker · every commitment management made on a call, tracked from the quarter it was made

Guidance

What management said, and what became of it

18 of 19 judged targets kept · 21 open · verdicts reflect calls analysed to Jun 2026.

TargetOriginal wordingSaidLatest callVerdict
Total adjusted EBITDA (SMG 2.0)north of $1 billionMar 2026Jun 2026:while the $1 billion increase in net sales and $1 billion in EBITDA remain the targets. Our immediate focus is on quality earnings growth and margin expansion, which will naturally lead us to those long-term financial milestones on a consistent basis that might push achievement beyond 2030.
Call transcript, Jun 2026 · no direct link
Diluted
Year-end net leverage ratiohigh 3xSep 2025Jun 2026:Leverage as of the third quarter was 3.78x compared with 4.15x a year ago
Call transcript, Jun 2026 · no direct link
On Track
Divestiture of Hawthorne Gardening to a dedicated cannabis companysell Hawthorne Gardening to a dedicated cannabis company by fiscal year end (FY25)Mar 2025Mar 2026:having classified it as a discontinued operation last quarter and completing its divestiture in early April
Call transcript, Mar 2026 · no direct link
Achieved*

A verdict describes what became of management’s own words in later analysed calls. “Delayed” is a change of date, “went quiet” a target the calls stopped mentioning. None of it is a judgement on the investment. The methodology sets out how verdicts are recorded.

The full ledger

Open Scotts Miracle-Gro’s full ledger

A free account opens 5 company ledgers a month. All 40 tracked commitments, with each call’s wording and source.

The rest of the ledger

Pro opens all 40 tracked commitments for Scotts Miracle-Gro

Above is what the last two calls moved. Pro adds every quarter's revision, the source quote behind each one, and the topics management has stopped answering.