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What Ternium S.A. promised, and what happened

Guidance Tracker · every commitment management made on a call, tracked from the quarter it was made

Guidance

What management said, and what became of it

16 of 22 judged targets kept · 12 open · verdicts reflect calls analysed to Jun 2026.

TargetOriginal wordingSaidLatest callVerdict
Adjusted EBITDA margin — normalized goal, low end (FY26 target)~15% (low end of a 15%-20% normalized range) by end of FY26Dec 2025Jun 2026:Adjusted EBITDA was 50% higher sequentially, and our EBITDA margin reached 16.5%.
Call transcript, Jun 2026 · no direct link
Achieved
Emissions intensity reduction target (hot-rolled steel, GHG Protocol)15% reduction in emissions intensity by 2030, vs. 2023 baselineSep 2024Jun 2026:is the revision of our 2030 decarbonization target, which now includes Usiminas and uses 2024 as a new base year. We are committed to reducing emissions intensity per ton of hot-rolled steel by 50% covering Scope 1, 2 and 3 under GHG protocol methodology.
Call transcript, Jun 2026 · no direct link
Revised Up
FY25 dividend — remaining balance payment timingPay remaining balance of a proposed $2.70/ADS total (of which $0.90 already paid as Nov interim) in ~May 2026Dec 2025Jun 2026:During the quarter, we also paid a dividend to shareholders of $255 million, corresponding to the balance of the total dividend declared for the fiscal year 2025.
Call transcript, Jun 2026 · no direct link
Pending

A verdict describes what became of management’s own words in later analysed calls. “Delayed” is a change of date, “went quiet” a target the calls stopped mentioning. None of it is a judgement on the investment. The methodology sets out how verdicts are recorded.

The full ledger

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The rest of the ledger

Pro opens all 34 tracked commitments for Ternium S.A.

Above is what the last two calls moved. Pro adds every quarter's revision, the source quote behind each one, and the topics management has stopped answering.