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WMWMS

What Advanced Drainage Systems promised, and what happened

Guidance Tracker · every commitment management made on a call, tracked from the quarter it was made

Guidance

What management said, and what became of it

8 of 9 judged targets kept · 12 open · verdicts reflect calls analysed to Jun 2026.

TargetOriginal wordingSaidLatest callVerdict
Full-year adjusted EBITDA$1 billion to $1.05 billionMar 2026Jun 2026:We continue to expect net sales of $3.350 billion to $3.550 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $1 billion to $1.05 billion.
Call transcript, Jun 2026 · no direct link
On Track
Full-year adjusted EBITDA$850 million to $910 millionMar 2025Mar 2026:We delivered excellent financial performance, exceeding the top end of both our revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance ranges.
Call transcript, Mar 2026 · no direct link
Achieved
Full-year SG&A as a percent of revenue14% of revenueMar 2025Mar 2026:going down to about 14% from the 15% plus we were this past year
Call transcript, Mar 2026 · no direct link
Missed

A verdict describes what became of management’s own words in later analysed calls. “Delayed” is a change of date, “went quiet” a target the calls stopped mentioning. None of it is a judgement on the investment. The methodology sets out how verdicts are recorded.

The full ledger

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A free account opens 5 company ledgers a month. All 21 tracked commitments, with each call’s wording and source.

The rest of the ledger

Pro opens all 21 tracked commitments for Advanced Drainage Systems

Above is what the last two calls moved. Pro adds every quarter's revision, the source quote behind each one, and the topics management has stopped answering.