Cummins India Limited — Q4 FY26 earnings call

Call held 29 May 2026

Management summary

Cummins India reported strong financial performance for Q4 and the full year FY26, driven by robust domestic demand, particularly in the Power Generation segment and data centers. While exports showed some weakness in the quarter, the company maintained healthy profitability. Management anticipates moderate growth for FY27, balancing strong domestic inquiries with caution regarding geopolitical factors, commodity inflation, and supply chain challenges. The company continues to invest in capacity modernization and is preparing for the aftermarket needs of CPCB IV+ products.

Highlights

  • Full year sales grew 18% YoY to INR 11,950 crores, with domestic sales up 19% and exports up 12%.

  • Q4 sales increased 23% YoY to INR 2,963 crores, driven by 30% growth in domestic sales.

  • Full year PBT before exceptional items rose 24% YoY to INR 3,104 crores.

  • Q4 PBT after exceptional items saw a significant 44% QoQ increase to INR 852 crores.

  • Power Generation domestic sales in Q4 surged 48% YoY and 21% QoQ to INR 1,294 crores, indicating robust demand.

  • Inquiry pipeline for data centers, including Hyperscalers and Colo players, has picked up significantly since October last year.

Concerns

  • Exports in Q4 were slightly lower by 6% YoY and 5% QoQ, with high horsepower exports down 1% YoY and 7% QoQ, and low horsepower exports down 18% YoY and 5% QoQ.

  • Industrial domestic businesses in Q4 decreased 18% QoQ to INR 381 crores, and were marginally lower by 1% YoY for the full year.

  • Distribution business sales in Q4 decreased 18% QoQ to INR 766 crores.

  • The compressor segment is expected to enter a low cycle, impacting demand in that area.

  • Management noted ongoing supply constraints, labor shortages, commodity pricing, and geopolitical situations as potential headwinds.

Key financials

2 periods

Q4 FY26

  • Sales
    ₹2,963 Cr
    YoY +23% QoQ -1%
  • Domestic Sales
    ₹2,513 Cr
    YoY +30% QoQ -1%
  • Exports
    ₹450 Cr
    YoY -6% QoQ -5%
  • PBT before exceptional
    ₹820 Cr
    YoY +20% QoQ +14%
  • PBT after exceptional
    ₹852 Cr
    YoY +25% QoQ +44%

FY26

  • Sales
    ₹11,950 Cr
    YoY +18%
  • Domestic Sales
    ₹9,961 Cr
    YoY +19%
  • Exports
    ₹1,989 Cr
    YoY +12%
  • PBT before exceptional
    ₹3,104 Cr
    YoY +24%
  • PBT after exceptional
    ₹3,054 Cr
    YoY +22%

What they filed

Q1 FY27: revenue up 17.9%, net profit down 7.8% against the same quarter last year.

₹ Cr · quarterly
Line itemQ2 FY25Q3 FY25Q4 FY25Q1 FY26Q2 FY26Q3 FY26Q4 FY26Q1 FY27
Revenue2,492 3,086 2,457 2,907 3,170 +27%3,055 −1%3,011 +23%3,426 +18%
EBITDA481 600 520 624 695 +44%634 +6%642 +23%616 −1%
Net profit451 514 521 589 638 +41%453 −12%650 +25%543 −8%
How to read this

₹ crore, as filed. The percentage beside a figure is the change against the same quarter a year earlier — never the quarter before, which would make every seasonal business look like it collapses and booms each year.

Segment breakdown

  • Power Generation (Domestic, FY26)
    ₹4,758 Cr Sales
  • Distribution Business (Domestic, FY26)
    ₹3,278 Cr Sales
  • Industrial Business (Domestic, FY26)
    ₹1,650 Cr Sales
  • High Horsepower Exports (FY26)
    ₹984 Cr Sales
  • Low Horsepower Exports (FY26)
    ₹807 Cr Sales
  • Power Generation (Domestic, Q4 FY26)
    ₹1,294 Cr Sales
  • Distribution Business (Domestic, Q4 FY26)
    ₹766 Cr Sales
  • Industrial Business (Domestic, Q4 FY26)
    ₹381 Cr Sales
  • High Horsepower Exports (Q4 FY26)
    ₹217 Cr Sales
  • Low Horsepower Exports (Q4 FY26)
    ₹127 Cr Sales
  • Hyperscaler Revenue (Q4 FY26)
    ₹250 Cr Value
  • PowerGen Segment Breakup (Q4 FY26)
    ₹55 Cr Low horsepower₹177 Cr Medium range₹108 Cr Heavy duty High horsepower
  • Industrial Business Segment Breakup (Q4 FY26)
    ₹164 Cr Construction₹111 Cr Rail₹59 Cr Compressor Mining and Defense

Order book

medium confidence

Execution

Data center orders are typically received 6 to 12 months before site readiness. High horsepower orders have a lead time of 3 to 6 months.

Composition

Mix 2 client types
  • Data Center (PowerGen Domestic) 30%
  • Data Center (PowerGen Domestic, Q4 FY26) 35%

Share of order book by client type· partial disclosure (65% of the book)

Pipeline

qualified rfp

Inquiry pipeline for data centers (Hyperscalers and Colo players) and mining has increased.

Order book for mining and railways is building up, and data center inquiry velocity has increased significantly since October last year. The company emphasizes its value proposition for data center customers beyond just cost.

Source: Prepared remarks

Capital allocation

high confidence
  • Capex Capex disclosed
    • Continuous modernization of plants and expanding line capability to increase output from existing installed bases.
    In Cummins India Limited, we have invested more than INR1,000 crores. What we have been using it for is continuously modernization of our plants and expanding our line capability, more output from the same line. And that has been happening over the last 5 years. ... For now, no major capital expenditure plan. The continuous capital that we have been investing in the last 5 years, we will continue to invest that to get more output from each of our installed bases today.

Guidance & targets

Revenue Growth

  • Overall Growth Revenue Growth · FY27 · Medium confidence moderate growth
    The company expects moderate growth across segments in the financial year 2026/'27.

    — Shveta Arya, Managing Director

Growth

  • Non-data centre Power Generation Growth Growth · FY27 · Medium confidence higher double digits
    Non-data centre growth in power generation has also been very good. It is higher double digits as well.

    — Shveta Arya, Managing Director

  • Distribution Business Growth Growth · Ongoing · Medium confidence to grow
    We do think there is scope for distribution business is to grow, owing to the fact that the asset base is continuously increasing in India.

    — Shveta Arya, Managing Director

What to watch in Q1 FY27

Data Center Inquiry Velocity

next quarter
Current Increased since October last year
Target Continued high velocity and conversion to orders

Why it matters

Indicates future growth for a key high-growth segment.

Inquiry pipeline right now after October last year has picked up in industry. Both Hyperscalers, more than that, Colo players. So the inquiry velocity definitely increased quite a lot since October last year, and we continue to see that, Mohit.

Risks & concerns

  • Geopolitical developments impacting exports

    medium

    It is difficult to predict export demand given the ongoing geopolitical situation.

    Management acknowledged

  • Commodity price increases and inflation

    medium

    Commodity prices are increasing, and inflation is likely to hit, requiring caution despite robust demand.

    Management acknowledged

  • Supply constraints

    medium

    Industry faces labor shortages, commodity pricing impacts, fuel cost increments, and war-related movement delays.

    Management acknowledged

  • Impact of short-term commodity prices on demand

    low

    For high horsepower, project-based demand is inelastic to commodity price increases. Lower ranges (CPCB IV+) might see more elastic demand if inflation hits.

    Management downplayed

Q&A highlights

7 direct
Localization and Margin Dilution from Data Centers/CPCB IV+ segments Direct
So that is not a challenge for us. And the content that we put beyond what we buy from related parties as a percentage is also very high. So we do not see these impacting our margins as much. They have not. In fact, in the last few quarters, you have already seen how the growth has been and how our margins have been. So these transactions have not impacted our margins dramatically.

Analyst questioned potential margin dilution from high-growth segments (data centers, CPCB IV+) due to lower localization or higher imports. Management clarified that localization content is already high and margins have not been dramatically impacted.

Asked by Parikshit Kandpal

Data Center Revenue Contribution and 'Moderate Growth' Outlook for FY27 Direct
Two ways to think about this, Atul. So from a demand perspective for our segments, power generation, industrial, distribution, across our segments for now, we are seeing robust demand from the domestic market. Exports, I have always been mentioning that it is difficult to completely put our fingers down on the export demand given the geopolitical situation. From a domestic demand perspective, for now, we still see robust demand. We are watching what's happening largely to the economy and everybody else in the country. Commodity prices are increasing, inflation is likely to hit. So we are watching all of that. And that is why that brings us a little bit of caution despite the fact that our demand, inquiries and order book are robust today.

Analyst sought clarification on the data center's contribution to revenue and the meaning of 'moderate growth'. Management provided specific contribution percentages and detailed the factors (geopolitical, commodity prices, supply constraints) influencing the cautious outlook despite robust demand.

Asked by Atul Tiwari

Industrial Segment Revival and Outlook Direct
Yes, I will do that. From an industrial segment perspective, last quarter, you might probably see the railway coming in as much for us. But this quarter, railway has performed very well and we continue to see robust demand on the railway side. That is the segment where we have a good order book and it continues to be so. Mining, for the last 2 years, we were not seeing good tenders coming in. The order velocity and the tender velocity was lower. But in the last 6 months, mining has picked up, and so our order book has started building up. Compressor segment will now undergo its low cycle, as it always does after a few years. So that may not see the kind of robust demand that we have seen in the last year or so. Construction, largely stable road construction.

Analyst inquired about the revival of the industrial segment. Management provided a detailed breakdown, highlighting strong demand in railways and mining, but noted a low cycle for compressors and stable road construction.

Asked by Mohit Kumar

Data Center Sizing Shift, Competitive Landscape, and Margin Impact Direct
Renu, the way we look at it, it is not just about the cost and the pricing of these engines and sensors. It is the whole value proposition that we provide to the customers. So, from our perspective, even before the tenders come in, we engage with our customers to really understand what are the kind of sites they are planning, how are they really thinking of setting up their site? How can we help them from that stage onwards to think of our impact of power.

Analyst questioned the impact of data centers moving to larger engine sizes (imported QSK95) on Cummins' competitive position and margins, given their localized 60L strength. Management emphasized their comprehensive value proposition and customer engagement beyond just pricing.

Asked by Renu Baid

Impact of Parent's Investment on Import Timelines and Lead Times Partial
Your first hypothesis that this will crunch in both timelines for us is correct because we are adding capacity as our parent has mentioned, and this largely goes towards engines that go into data center market. It is likely to crunch in post timelines. I will not be able to give you the exact numbers on what our lead times are and what they're likely to go to. ... It has definitely increased. The lead times has increased because we need to appreciate that the data center demand through the world at this point in time is very high. So, the lead times have in the last few years increased.

Analyst asked about the impact of Cummins' parent's $450M investment on reducing import timelines for larger engines. Management confirmed it would help but could not provide specific numbers, noting that global demand has generally increased lead times.

Asked by Rahul Gajare

Commodity Inflation, DEF Prices, and Pricing Actions Direct
I'll split this answer into two. Let me first talk about commodity inflation overall. Yes, we have been seeing commodities increase. As far as possible, we try and pass them on. There is always a challenge because we would have generated orders this prior to the period of commodity increase. So, with a little bit of lag and a little bit of challenge, we pass it on to the market. And we continue to see that challenge across various commodities. Specifically, from a diesel exhaust perspective, DEF is a very small proportion of our distribution business. So, it is not that impactful.

Analyst questioned the company's response to significant commodity inflation and rising DEF prices. Management stated they pass on costs with a lag and that DEF's impact on the distribution business is minimal.

Asked by Priyankar Biswas

CPCB IV+ Aftermarket Business and Distribution Growth Direct
Sure, I'll answer your second question first. CPCB IV+ as it comes out of warranty, absolutely, our endeavor is to encircle our customers so that, this is integrated technology products, are more sophisticated technology, than prior in Tec-product engines after treatment systems. So, we do want to provide the services to our customers for the entire CPCB IV+ range as it comes out of warranty. We have service packages available for extended warranty as well for our customers, which gives them a lot of peace of mind. And we do anticipate our distribution business to be able to cater to these customers, as they get out of warranty. In fact, we are already working on that through our extended warranty schemes.

Analyst asked about the strategy for CPCB IV+ products coming out of warranty and its impact on the distribution business. Management outlined plans to provide comprehensive services and extended warranty schemes, expecting the distribution business to cater effectively to this demand.

Asked by Mohit Pandey

Product Gaps and BESS Opportunities Direct
Puneet. We don't see product gaps. What we always endeavour to do is pack more power into each of our products. And we continuously work on that. So we didn't have product gaps, we have lots of opportunities to pack in more power into existing products so that they become more value for money for our customers. ... Thanks for the question. We have generated a lot of interest and a lot of inquiries. We have to see some good sales coming in. For now, there's a lot of interest and a lot of inquiries for battery energy storage systems coming out.

Analyst asked about potential product gaps and the company's view on Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS). Management stated no product gaps, focusing on enhancing existing products, and noted significant interest and inquiries for BESS, awaiting sales conversion.

Asked by Puneet Gulati

3 min read 7 chapters

Detailed narrative

Financial Performance Overview (Q4 & FY26)

Cummins India reported strong financial results for the full year ended March 31, 2026, with sales reaching INR 11,950 crores, an 18% increase over the previous year. Domestic sales grew by 19% to INR 9,961 crores, while exports increased by 12% to INR 1,989 crores. Profit before tax (PBT) before exceptional items for the full year was INR 3,104 crores, up 24% YoY. For Q4 FY26, sales were INR 2,963 crores, a 23% increase YoY, with domestic sales up 30%. Q4 PBT after exceptional items showed a significant 44% QoQ increase to INR 852 crores.

Segmental Performance and Growth Drivers

The Power Generation domestic segment was a key growth driver, with sales increasing 24% YoY to INR 4,758 crores for the full year and a robust 48% YoY and 21% QoQ increase to INR 1,294 crores in Q4. The distribution business also performed well, growing 22% YoY to INR 3,278 crores for the full year, though it saw an 18% QoQ decrease in Q4. Industrial domestic business sales were marginally lower by 1% YoY for the full year at INR 1,650 crores, and decreased 18% QoQ in Q4 to INR 381 crores. Exports, particularly high horsepower, showed a 20% YoY increase for the full year but experienced a 6% YoY and 5% QoQ decline in Q4.

Data Center Business Outlook

The data center business contributed significantly, accounting for 30-35% of the overall Power Generation domestic revenue for the full year and approximately 35% in Q4 FY26. Hyperscaler revenue in Q4 alone was INR 250 crores. Management noted a significant increase in inquiry velocity for data centers, from both Hyperscalers and Colo players, since October last year. The company emphasizes its strong value proposition for data center customers, focusing on end-to-end solutions and high localization content for key components, which helps maintain margins.

Industrial Segment Dynamics

Within the industrial segment, railways showed strong and growing demand, contributing to a healthy order book. Mining also saw an uptick in order velocity and tender activity in the last six months, leading to a building order book after two years of slower activity. However, the compressor segment is expected to enter a low cycle, similar to its historical patterns. Road construction remains largely stable, with moderate orders compared to the high velocity seen a few years ago.

Supply Chain, Margin Management, and Pricing

The company acknowledged challenges from increasing commodity prices and inflation, stating efforts to pass on these costs to the market with a slight lag. Supply constraints, including labor shortages, commodity pricing impacts, and fuel cost increments, along with geopolitical situations, continue to be monitored. Despite these pressures, management indicated that margins have not been dramatically impacted. Pricing for CPCB IV+ products has largely sustained at the higher levels, with competition primarily affecting lower-range, low-cost power products.

Capital Allocation and Capacity Utilization

Cummins India has invested over INR 1,000 crores in the last five years, primarily for continuous modernization of plants and expanding line capabilities to increase output from existing installed bases. The overall capacity utilization is currently around 70%. The company does not have a major capital expenditure plan for the immediate future, preferring to continue investing in continuous capital to enhance output from its current assets. There are no identified product gaps, with focus on enhancing existing products to offer more value.

Future Growth Drivers and Aftermarket

Beyond data centers, the company sees demand from manufacturing, particularly solar cell plants and pharma, as well as quick commerce (dark stores) and luxury residential/commercial realty. There is significant interest and inquiries for Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS), though sales conversion is yet to be seen. For CPCB IV+ products coming out of warranty, the distribution business is prepared to offer comprehensive services and extended warranty schemes, aiming to encircle customers and provide sophisticated aftermarket support.

This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript.