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    Electrosteel Castings Limited

    ELECTCAST
    Capital Goods·12 May 2025
    Management Summary

    Electrosteel Castings reported a mixed Q4 FY25, with consolidated total income of Rs. 1,739 crores and an EBITDA margin of 11.4%, primarily impacted by two blast furnace shutdowns and a temporary slowdown in market demand. Despite this, the company achieved a consolidated total income of Rs. 7,443 crores and an EBITDA margin of 15.6% for FY25. Management highlighted positive demand outlook from increased government allocation for the Jal Jeevan Mission and other water infrastructure projects, alongside capacity expansion to 9 lakh tons and strategic entry into new export markets.

    Highlights

    5
    • FY25 Consolidated Total Income reached INR 7,443 crores, reflecting robust annual performance.

    • FY25 Consolidated EBITDA Margin stood strong at 15.6%, aligning with mid-to-long term targets.

    • Installed capacity increased to 9 lakh tons by year-end FY25, with plans to reach 1 million tons by 2026-27, positioning for future growth.

    • Government's renewed commitment to the Jal Jeevan Mission (JJM) with a Rs. 67,000 crore allocation for FY25-26 and extension till 2028, promises significant demand.

    • Strategic entry into the Vietnam market and expansion of product offerings through the Singardo acquisition are opening new growth avenues.

    Concerns

    3
    • Q4 FY25 Consolidated Total Income was Rs. 1,739 crores, impacted by two blast furnace shutdowns.

    • Q4 FY25 Consolidated EBITDA Margin was lower at 11.4%, attributed to maintenance activities and a temporary market slowdown.

    • Working capital days increased marginally due to a slowdown in customer payment cycles, though management expects improvement.

    What Changed1

    vs Q1 FY26

    Guidance items8 → 9 (+1)
    Key financials

    Metrics

    6

    Periods

    2

    Headline

    4
    • Consolidated Total Income
      ₹7,443 Cr
    • Consolidated EBITDA Margin
      15.6%
    • Consolidated PAT
      ₹710 Cr
    • Dividend Per Share
      ₹1.4

    Q4

    2
    • Consolidated Total Income
      ₹1,739 Cr
    • Consolidated EBITDA Margin
      11.4%

    Order Book

    medium confidence

    "The company's order book is currently around seven and a half months, with expectations for it to improve."

    Source:
    Q&A

    Capital allocation

    3
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    ₹200 crores

    Debt

    Net ₹1,400 crores

    Dividend

    ₹1.4/share (final)

    Guidance & targets

    9
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Capacity
    DI Pipe Capacity
    1 million tons
    High
    Production Volume
    Production Volume
    8.3-8.5 lakh tons
    High
    Production Volume
    Production Volume
    >9 lakh tons
    High
    Margin
    EBITDA Margin
    15-18%
    High
    Profitability
    Return on Capital (ROC)
    12-13%
    Medium
    Demand
    JJM Ground Impact
    Start coming in
    High
    Demand
    Ken-Betwa Project Demand
    Start seeing demand
    High
    Demand
    Demand vs Supply
    10-12% ahead of supply
    High
    Capacity Utilization
    Capacity Utilization
    90-95%
    High

    What to watch in Q1 FY26

    5

    JJM Project Execution Velocity

    From Q2 FY26
    CurrentSlowdown in H2 FY25, central funds disbursement in process.
    TargetVisible increase in project activity and pipe demand.

    Why it matters

    JJM is a major demand driver; its revival and execution pace are crucial for the company's volume growth.

    Impact on the ground will start coming in from Quarter 2.

    Risks & concerns

    4
    RiskSeverity

    Jal Jeevan Mission (JJM) Funding and Execution Delays

    Reduced central government spending on JJM in FY24-25 (budget revised down from Rs. 70,000 crores to Rs. 22,000 crores) impacted H2 FY25 performance. Some states with financial troubles might delay projects.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Impact of Blast Furnace Shutdowns

    Two blast furnace shutdowns in Q2 and Q3/early Q4 FY25 temporarily impacted production volumes and Q4 financial results, leading to a production loss of 60,000-65,000 tons.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Working Capital Deterioration

    A marginal increase in the debtor cycle was observed due to a slowdown in customer payment cycles, though management maintains strict credit policies and expects improvement.Management acknowledged

    low

    Competition from OPVC Pipes

    The emergence of OPVC pipes as an alternative is not seen as a significant threat to DI pipes, especially for larger diameters, due to different use cases and limited overlap.Analyst downplayed

    low

    Q&A highlights

    8

    “I have been saying since 1.5 years to 2 years that we have a coverage of 40% to 50%. So, what I was saying, I find that that has now come out in public, but this is a reality that I am noticing on the ground because of our network...”

    Management provides a more realistic assessment of JJM's on-ground penetration (40-50%) compared to official claims (80%), offering a nuanced view of market potential.

    asked by Aashav Patel

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q4 and FY25 Financial Performance Overview

    Electrosteel Castings reported a consolidated total income of INR 7,443 crores for FY25, with an EBITDA of INR 1,159 crores and an EBITDA margin of 15.6%. Consolidated PAT for FY25 stood at INR 710 crores, including a one-time📎 deferred tax adjustment of INR 81 crores. For Q4 FY25, consolidated total income was INR 1,739 crores, impacted by plant shutdowns, resulting in an EBITDA of INR 198 crores and an EBITDA margin of 11.4%. The company recommended a dividend of Rs. 1.40 per equity share, maintaining the previous year's payout.

    02

    Jal Jeevan Mission (JJM) Outlook

    The Jal Jeevan Mission (JJM) experienced a slowdown in H2 FY25 due to a budget revision from Rs. 70,000 crores to Rs. 22,000 crores for FY24-25. However, the government has allocated a significantly higher budget of Rs. 67,000 crores for FY25-26 and extended the mission until December 2028. Management believes that while official penetration claims are 80%, the ground reality is closer to 40-50%, indicating substantial remaining work for over 4 crore households. The impact on ground-level activity is expected to pick up from Q2 FY26.

    03

    Capacity Expansion and Production Volumes

    The company's phase-wise expansion to increase capacity from 6.8 lakh tons to 1 million tons is on schedule, with installed capacity reaching 9 lakh tons by year-end FY25. A total CAPEX of Rs. 500 crores has been incurred up to FY25 out of a planned Rs. 700 crores, with the balance Rs. 200 crores to be spent later. DI sales volume for FY25 was 7.17 lakh tons, with Q4 volume at 1.71 lakh tons. Production for FY26 is targeted at 8.3-8.5 lakh tons, aiming to cross 9 lakh tons in FY27, with capacity utilization expected to reach 90-95% within the next year.

    04

    Raw Material and Margin Dynamics

    Coking coal prices remained relatively steady in the last three months, varying by about $20, while iron ore saw a small upward trend of Rs. 200-300 per ton. The softening in realizations, currently Rs. 58-60 per kg for new orders, is partly attributed to lower input material costs. Despite Q4's 11.4% EBITDA margin being a 'rock bottom' due to shutdowns, management maintains a mid-to-long term EBITDA margin target of 15-18% and aims for a Return on Capital of 12-13%.

    05

    Strategic Diversification and New Markets

    Electrosteel Castings is strategically moving towards becoming a comprehensive manufacturer and supplier for the entire water infrastructure space. This includes expanding product offerings beyond DI pipes and fittings, with a new production line for gaskets already set up. Through the Singardo acquisition, the company has successfully entered the Vietnam market, initially with small orders, and is now pursuing larger contracts. This diversification aims to reduce reliance on core products and tap into broader market opportunities.

    06

    Capital Expenditure and Debt Management

    The company has incurred approximately Rs. 500 crores in CAPEX up to FY25 for capacity expansion, with a balance of Rs. 200 crores planned. For FY26, the total CAPEX is projected at Rs. 200 crores, comprising Rs. 35 crores for maintenance and Rs. 165 crores for regular CAPEX. Working capital debt has been reduced from Rs. 1,800 crores to Rs. 1,400 crores. Management aims to maintain and slightly reduce total net debt, targeting a comfortable level of Rs. 1,500-2,000 crores for a 1 million ton plus production capacity.

    07

    Competitive Landscape and Product Innovation

    Management addressed concerns regarding OPVC pipes, stating they do not pose a significant threat to DI pipes due to distinct use cases and limited overlap, particularly for larger diameters (above 200 dia). The company is focusing on innovation by adding new products for the water infrastructure space, beyond just fittings and pipes, to maintain competitiveness. The demand for DI pipes is expected to remain 10-12% ahead of supply for the next two years, with the demand-supply cycle projected to meet in FY28-29.

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