Detailed Narrative
Strategic Demerger Rationale
The demerger is driven by the need for independent management focus and tailored capital deployment for the distinct Industrial and Automotive segments. Industrial requires smaller batch sizes and quicker resetting times for diverse customers, whereas Automotive demands high-volume efficiency and longer innovation cycles. The split aims to accelerate both growth and profitability by allowing each entity to respond more agilely to its specific macro drivers, such as infrastructure spend for Industrial and EV penetration for Automotive.
Industrial Segment Expansion and Localization
The Industrial business, currently at ₹3,300 crores, is poised for growth through a new ₹450-500 crore plant in Pune dedicated to DGBBs and tapered roller bearings by 2028. Management plans to increase localization from the current 30% to 35-40% over the next 3-5 years. Additionally, export share is targeted to rise from 8% to approximately 13%, leveraging India as a global manufacturing hub under the 'China Plus One' strategy.
Automotive Segment SUV and EV Focus
Automotive growth is being led by the SUV trend and increasing EV penetration, where SKF holds a healthy market share despite low overall market penetration (under 5% for 2-wheelers). The segment is seeing share gains in the 2-wheeler and 3-wheeler categories, with passenger vehicle wheel-end share increasing from 19% to 22%. A Capex of ₹500-600 crores is planned through 2030 to support these growth drivers and new safety regulations like ABS.
Manufacturing Footprint Reorganization
The company is reorganizing its three main plants in Bangalore, Pune, and Haridwar. Bangalore will become 100% automotive, with three existing lines moving to Pune to consolidate industrial manufacturing. Pune will eventually house two distinct plants—one for Automotive and one for Industrial. This reorganization, coupled with a 55:45 manpower split between the two businesses, is designed to optimize manufacturing efficiency for their respective customer profiles.
Financial Outlook and Margin Stability
Despite recent volatility attributed to transfer pricing norms in the trading business, management is confident in maintaining a 17-19% EBITDA margin profile. Revenue growth is guided at 10-12% for Automotive and 8-10% for Industrial through FY28. Post-2028, management expects faster growth in Industrial as the new plant capacity comes online and localization benefits begin to reflect in the margin profile.