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    AUGO
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    Aura Minerals Q2 FY26 earnings call AUGO

    Aug 6, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Aura Minerals Q2 FY26 — Strong H2 Outlook Despite Q2 Weakness, Record LTM EBITDA

    Aura Minerals reported a challenging Q2 FY26 with lower production and revenues, primarily due to planned mine sequencing and significant infrastructure investments at MSG aimed at long-term operational improvements. Despite this, the company expressed strong confidence in a robust second half, reaffirming full-year production and cost guidance. Capital allocation remains a priority, with a new dividend and a substantial share buyback program announced, alongside continued funding of growth projects from operational cash flows.

    Highlights

    5
    • Achieved record last 12 months (LTM) Adjusted EBITDA of $800 million, marking 12 consecutive quarters of increase.

    • Reported a record high net income of $218 million, driven by operational results and unrealized gains on gold derivatives.

    • Announced a new $60 million dividend ($0.72 per share) for Q2 FY26 and a $200 million share buyback program.

    • Significantly increased MSG's proven and probable gold equivalent reserves from 370,000 to 753,000 ounces within six months.

    • Expressed strong confidence in meeting full-year production guidance of 340,000-390,000 ounces and all-in sustaining cash cost guidance.

    Concerns

    5
    • Experienced weaker Q2 production of 158,000 ounces (H1 total) due to planned mine sequencing and infrastructure investments at MSG.

    • Q2 revenues were lower at $336 million, attributed to reduced production and a lower average gold price compared to Q1.

    • Reported Q2 all-in sustaining cash costs near $2,000 per ounce, primarily due to the MSG turnaround and infrastructure activities.

    • Noted a decrease in Minosa's production from 17,000 to 14,000 ounces, with expectations for weaker performance in the next two quarters.

    • Experienced a lost time incident in Borborema in March, prompting a review of safety procedures.

    Guidance & targets

    10
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year Production
    340,000-390,000 ounces
    high materiality
    High
    H2 Production
    182,000-232,000 ounces
    high materiality
    High
    MSG Annual Production
    close to 80,000 ounces per year
    high materiality
    High
    MSG All-in Sustaining Cash Cost
    $2,000-$2,200 per ounce
    high materiality
    High
    Borborema Plant Debottlenecking
    online by Q4
    medium materiality
    High
    Almas Plant Capacity
    close to 3 million tons per year
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year All-in Sustaining Cash Cost
    meet guidance
    high materiality
    High
    Q2 Dividend
    $60 million ($0.72 per share)
    high materiality
    High
    Share Buyback Program
    $200 million
    high materiality
    High
    Era Dorada Production
    beyond '28
    medium materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    7
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Superiore
    Reported strong adjusted EBITDA within the range of $43 million to $56 million.
    Adjusted EBITDA: $43M-$56M
    Minosa
    Experienced a decrease in production due to challenging stacking pad conditions, leading to slower recovery and increased working capital. Expected to have weaker production in the next two quarters before recovering in Q4. Reported strong adjusted EBITDA within the range of $43 million to $56 million.
    Q1 Production: 17,000 ouncesQ2 Production: 14,000 ouncesAdjusted EBITDA: $43M-$56M
    Almas
    Showed a slight improvement in production. The plant is being upgraded to 3 million tons per year capacity, which will gradually improve production. Reported strong adjusted EBITDA within the range of $43 million to $56 million.
    Adjusted EBITDA: $43M-$56M
    Araxa
    Reported strong adjusted EBITDA within the range of $43 million to $56 million.
    Adjusted EBITDA: $43M-$56M
    Apoena
    Experienced lower production in Q2, but all background activities and investments in pit opening and mine development are on track to support significantly higher grades and production in Q3 and Q4.
    Q1 Production: 7,000 ouncesQ2 Production: 6,000 ounces
    MSG
    Q2 production was weaker than Q1 due to infrastructure investments and underground development for the turnaround. This work is crucial for structurally changing the mine to achieve close to 80,000 ounces per year production and lower AISC by 2027. Production is expected to improve in Q3 and Q4.
    Q1 Production: 9,000 ouncesQ2 Production: weaker than Q1
    Borborema
    Lower Q2 production was planned due to mine sequencing grades. Higher grades are expected in Q3, and plant debottlenecking with new filters will increase production in Q4.
    Q1 Production: 17,000 ouncesQ2 Production: 14,000 ounces

    Operational metrics

    38
    Last 12 Months Adjusted EBITDA
    $800 million12 consecutive quarters of increase
    LTM Q2 FY26

    Record high LTM Adjusted EBITDA.

    Last 12 Months Production
    313,000 ounces
    LTM Q2 FY26

    Total ounces produced over the last 12 months.

    Adjusted EBITDA
    $197 million
    Q2 FY26

    Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter.

    Recurring Cash Flow (ex-gold hedges)
    $120 million
    Q2 FY26

    Recurring cash flow before losses from gold hedges.

    Expansion Capital Expenditure
    $54 million
    Q2 FY26

    Amount used for expansion CapEx.

    Share Buybacks and Dividends
    $68 million
    Q2 FY26

    Total capital returned to shareholders through buybacks and dividends.

    Net Income
    $218 millionrecord high
    Q2 FY26

    Record high net income for the quarter.

    Market-to-Market Gain on Derivatives
    $126 million
    Q2 FY26

    Positive impact on net income from unrealized gains on gold derivatives.

    Adjusted Net Income
    $97 millionslightly below last quarter
    Q2 FY26

    Adjusted net income excluding non-cash impacts.

    Cash Equivalents
    $250 million
    Q2 FY26

    Cash balance at the end of the quarter.

    Net Debt
    $168 millionincreased
    Q2 FY26

    Net debt at the end of the quarter.

    Net Debt to EBITDA Ratio
    0.2xstable between quarters
    Q2 FY26

    Leverage ratio remained stable.

    Gold Collars Payment
    $37 million
    Q2 FY26

    Payments made for gold collars that expired in the quarter.

    Income Tax Expenses
    $20 million
    Q2 FY26

    Income tax expenses for the quarter.

    Gain from San Francisco Mine Sale
    close to $10 million
    Q2 FY26

    Gain related to the completion of the sale of the San Francisco mine.

    Contingency Liabilities Provision
    $5 million
    Q2 FY26

    Non-recurring provision for contingency liabilities.

    MSG Underground Development Performance
    80-90%above last year
    Q2 FY26

    Improvement in underground development speed at MSG.

    Era Dorada Investment Spent
    $15 million
    Q2 FY26

    Amount spent on the Era Dorada project so far.

    Era Dorada Groundwork Completion
    60%
    Q2 FY26

    Percentage of groundwork completed for Era Dorada.

    Era Dorada Local Employment (Asuncion Mita)
    53%
    Q2 FY26

    Percentage of employees from the local Asuncion Mita region.

    Era Dorada Local Employment (Guatemala)
    93%
    Q2 FY26

    Percentage of employees from Guatemala.

    Almas Plant Capacity (Initial)
    1.3 million tons
    Initial

    Initial plant capacity when built.

    Almas Plant Capacity (Last Year)
    2 million tons
    FY25

    Plant capacity at the end of last year.

    Borborema Mine Life (Initial)
    11 years
    Initial

    Mine life when announced to the market.

    Borborema Reserves (Initial)
    less than 800,000 ounces
    Initial

    Reserves when announced to the market.

    M&A Internal Rate of Return Target
    at least 20%
    Ongoing

    Minimum target IRR for M&A and internal projects.

    Almas Project Internal Rate of Return
    above 50%
    Project Life

    Expected IRR for the Almas project at feasibility study.

    Borborema Project Internal Rate of Return
    close to 40%
    Project Life

    Expected IRR for the Borborema project at feasibility study.

    Era Dorada Project Internal Rate of Return
    over 30%
    Project Life

    Expected IRR for the Era Dorada project at feasibility study.

    Gold Price (Spike)
    $5,500
    Short-term

    Gold price when it spiked too high, widening buyer/seller gap.

    Gold Price (Came Back)
    $4,200-$4,300
    Recent

    Gold price when it came back, leading to more converging expectations.

    Gold Price (Depressed)
    $4,100
    Recent

    Gold price when it got depressed.

    Gold Price (Current)
    $42.50
    Current

    Current gold price mentioned in Q&A.

    Gold Price (Potential Medium Term)
    $50, $60, $1,000
    Medium Term

    Potential gold price targets mentioned by management.

    Brazil FX Rate (Guidance Assumption)
    BRL 5.50 per dollar
    Guidance Issuance

    Exchange rate assumed when guidance was issued.

    Brazil FX Rate (Current)
    BRL 5 per dollar
    Current

    Current exchange rate, representing a 10% loss.

    Cash at Start of Quarter
    $207 million
    Q2 FY26

    Cash position at the beginning of Q2 FY26.

    Production Growth Target
    above $300
    Upcoming years

    Reference to going above 300,000 ounces, doubling production in upcoming years.

    Industry KPIs

    6
    MetricValueDetails
    Safetyoneincident
    All in sustaining costclose to $2,000 per ounceUSD/ounce
    Reserve life new supply753,000 gold equivalent ouncesounces
    Growth project CAPEX first production$15 millionUSD
    Ore grade recovery drilling by deposit
    Production sales volume by metal and by mine158,000 ouncesounces

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    UnknownSale of the San Francisco mine, which was part of the Apoena complex.

    The sale of the San Francisco mine was completed, resulting in a gain for the company.

    Capital programs

    4
    Era Dorada Projectunderway
    Period spend: $15 million

    Benefit: water treatment to potable level, geothermal energy

    Board approved full investments. 60% of groundwork completed. Focus on local hiring (53% from Asuncion Mita, 93% from Guatemala). Includes significant water treatment improvements and final studies for a geothermal project.

    Almas Plant Upgradeunderway

    Benefit: 3 million tons per year capacity

    Upgrading plant capacity from 2 million tons to 3 million tons per year, expected to finish by year-end.

    Borborema Plant Debottleneckingunderway

    Benefit: increased production capacity

    Implementing new filters to address the current bottleneck, expected to be online by Q4.

    MSG Turnaround and Underground Developmentunderway

    Benefit: 80,000 ounces per year production, $2,000-$2,200/ounce AISC

    Significant infrastructure investments and underground development to structurally change the mine sequencing from top-down to bottom-up. Compromised short-term production for long-term stability and higher output by 2027. Underground development performance is 80-90% above last year.

    Risks & headwinds

    10
    Weaker Q2 ProductionQ2 FY26

    158,000 ounces (H1 total)

    Mitigation: Planned mine sequencing and infrastructure investments at MSG for H2 recovery.

    Lower Gold Price and Production Impact on RevenueQ2 FY26

    $336 million Q2 revenue

    Mitigation: Expected higher production in H2 and long-term constructive view on gold prices.

    High All-in Sustaining Cash CostsQ2 FY26

    close to $2,000 per ounce (Q2 FY26)

    Mitigation: Primarily due to MSG turnaround; expected to decrease with higher production and grades in H2 and by 2027.

    Minosa Production DeclineQ2 FY26 and next two quarters

    decrease from 17,000 to 14,000 ounces

    Mitigation: Expected recovery in Q4 FY26.

    Lost Time IncidentMarch FY26

    one lost time incident

    Mitigation: Revised procedures and constant monitoring to achieve zero incidents.

    Unfavorable Foreign Exchange RatesOngoing

    Brazil Real from BRL 5.50/USD to BRL 5/USD (10% loss)

    Mitigation: Internal initiatives and cost-cutting programs to offset impact.

    Higher Oil and Chemical PricesOngoing

    impact on diesel costs (5-10% of total cost)

    Mitigation: Internal initiatives and cost-cutting programs to offset impact.

    Potential Negative News during Era Dorada ConstructionOngoing construction

    unquantified

    Mitigation: Significant community engagement, transparency house, and majority approval from local COCODEs.

    El Nino Climate ImpactOngoing

    unquantified

    Mitigation: Monitoring rainfall in Central America (Era Dorada) and Honduras (open pit); not expected to jeopardize construction or significantly impact overall Aura production.

    Share Price VolatilityOngoing

    unquantified

    Mitigation: Management believes it's natural for a high-growth company and expects volatility to be on the upside as growth is delivered.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    MSG Production Ramp-up

    Q3 FY26 and Q4 FY26
    CurrentWeaker Q2 production (9,000 oz in Q1, lower in Q2)
    TargetIncreased production in Q3 and Q4

    Why it matters

    Successful ramp-up is crucial for achieving 2027 production targets and validating the turnaround strategy.

    We should see improvements in Q3 and then Q4, another improvement, but most of the improvement in production will be on 2027.

    Q&A highlights

    5

    How does the volatile macro environment affect M&A appetite? How does management balance growth CapEx, buybacks, and dividends, especially with the new $200M buyback program?

    Management maintains M&A appetite, viewing current gold price volatility as creating more converging expectations for deals. They balance growth CapEx, dividends, and buybacks, having historically funded both growth and shareholder returns from strong cash flows. The new buyback program will split capital returns with dividends, not necessarily increasing the total payout.

    We've been able to do though, both. This company has such a high payback, right? The payback of our project is one or two years. So the equity will be maybe sometimes less than one year.

    asked by Matheus Moreira · answered by Rodrigo Barbosa

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Operational Performance and H2 Outlook

    Aura Minerals reported a weaker first half of 2026, with 158,000 ounces produced, primarily due to planned mine sequencing and significant infrastructure investments at MSG. However, management expressed strong confidence in a substantial recovery in the second half, projecting 182,000 to 232,000 ounces for H2, bringing the full-year production within the 340,000 to 390,000 ounce guidance. This improvement is expected from higher grades at Borborema and Apoena, debottlenecking at Borborema, and the ramp-up of MSG.

    02

    MSG Turnaround and Resource Expansion

    The MSG asset underwent a significant turnaround in Q2, prioritizing underground development and infrastructure over short-term production. This strategic focus has led to a substantial increase in resources and reserves, with proven and probable gold equivalent ounces doubling from 370,000 to 753,000 within six months. Measured and indicated resources grew from 1 million to 1.8 million ounces, and inferred resources from 1.4 million to over 2 million ounces. The underground development performance is 80-90% above last year, positioning MSG to produce close to 80,000 ounces per year at an AISC of $2,000-$2,200 per ounce by 2027.

    03

    Capital Allocation Strategy

    The company announced a new capital allocation strategy, combining a $60 million dividend ($0.72 per share) for Q2 FY26 with a $200 million share buyback program. Management emphasized its ability to fund growth projects, dividends, and buybacks from operational cash flows, maintaining a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.2x. The M&A strategy remains active, focusing on value creation through greenfield projects, resource expansion, and acquisitions, with a preference for operating assets that do not overlap with current construction timelines.

    04

    Project Development and Expansion

    Era Dorada is progressing as planned, with $15 million already spent and 60% of groundwork completed. The project includes significant improvements in water treatment and a potential geothermal energy source, with 53% of employees hired from local communities. Almas is undergoing an upgrade to increase its processing capacity from 2 million to 3 million tons per year by year-end. Borborema is implementing new filters to debottleneck the plant, expected online by Q4, further boosting production alongside higher grades.

    05

    Cost Management and Inflation Headwinds

    Despite facing headwinds from a less favorable Brazilian Real exchange rate (BRL 5.50/USD to BRL 5/USD) and higher oil/chemical prices, Aura Minerals is confident in meeting its full-year AISC guidance. The company employs a strategic sourcing program and internal cost-reduction initiatives across all business units to mitigate inflationary pressures. While oil prices impact diesel costs (5-10% of total cost), a comprehensive program aims to offset these effects.

    06

    Safety and ESG Commitments

    Aura Minerals reported one lost time incident at Borborema in March, with the affected individual fully recovered. The company has since revised procedures and reinforced its commitment to achieving zero lost time incidents through constant monitoring and internal programs. Geotechnical structures, including tailings and underground pits, are continuously monitored by external consultants and are deemed satisfactory. Era Dorada project emphasizes local hiring and advanced water treatment to potable levels, demonstrating strong community and environmental commitment.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.