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CTO Realty Growth (CTO) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Jun 2026 (Q2 FY26)· Real Estate· Jul 29, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

CTO Realty Growth Q2 FY26 — Strong NOI Growth and Strategic Capital Recycling

CTO Realty Growth delivered strong Q2 FY26 results, driven by robust same property NOI growth, healthy leasing activity, and strategic investments. The company successfully recycled capital through dispositions and originated new structured investments, leading to raised full-year guidance for Core FFO and investment volume. Management anticipates a moderation in same-store growth in the second half of the year due to challenging comparisons.

Highlights

5
  • Shopping centers same property NOI increased 10.1% for the quarter compared to the prior year period.

  • Core FFO per diluted share was $0.53, an increase of nearly 18% year-over-year.

  • Total portfolio was 95.4% leased at quarter end, up 150 basis points from a year ago.

  • Completed $234.2 million of investments year-to-date at a weighted average yield of 9.5%.

  • Raised full-year 2026 Core FFO guidance to a new range of $2.09 to $2.13 per diluted share.

Concerns

2
  • Same-store NOI growth is expected to moderate from the beginning of the year pace in the back half of 2026 due to tougher comparable periods and normalized bad debt expense.

  • Income tax expense was elevated at $1.1 million for the quarter, with approximately $0.8 million related to deferred taxes on unrealized gains on securities.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Full-year 2026 Core FFO per diluted share
$2.09 to $2.13
high materiality
High
Full-year 2026 AFFO per diluted share
$2.21 to $2.25
high materiality
High
Full-year 2026 Investment Volume (including commercial loans and structured investments)
$300 million to $400 million
high materiality
High
Full-year 2026 Same Property NOI growth for shopping centers
5% to 6%
high materiality
High
Full-year 2026 General and Administrative expenses
$20 million to $20.2 million
medium materiality
High
Out-parcel development unlevered yield
low double-digit
low materiality
Medium
Out-parcel development earnings contribution
beginning to contribute to earnings in 2027, full benefit in 2028
low materiality
Medium

Orderbook & backlog

Signed-not-open pipeline $6.3 million Q2 FY26 end

Represents approximately 5.8% of in-place annual cash base rent, expected to commence paying rent through balance of 2026 and into 2027.

Investment volume under contract (first mortgage) $37 million Post Q2 FY26

$29.8 million funded at closing, secured by leasehold interest in mixed-use property in Austin, Texas.

Disposition volume remaining (Albuquerque office property) 98,000 square feet Q2 FY26 end

Fully leased to the State of New Mexico, expected to go to market end of 2026 or early 2027.

Disposition volume under contract (Carolina Pavilion portion) 76,500 square feet Q2 FY26 end

Consists of two adjacent vacant anchor boxes, under contract to sell to a national retailer, subject to customary closing conditions.

Out-parcel development investment $30 million Ongoing

Capital being deployed over late 2026 and into 2027 for six out-parcels.

Deals & partnerships

d***'s House of Sports, Nordstrom Rack, Cost Plus World Market, Portillo's (anchors) Acquisition of an open-air retail power center $53.3 million

Acquired Gallery on the Parkway, a 152,000 square foot open-air retail power center in Dallas, Texas. The center is fully occupied and located on 12 acres along the Dallas North Tollway.

State of New Mexico Disposition of non-core office property

The State of New Mexico is expected to take possession of approximately 98,000 square feet at the Albuquerque, New Mexico office property this fall, bringing it to full occupancy. The property is being prepared to be taken to market for sale.

National retailer Sale of a portion of a shopping center

Under contract to sell a 76,500 square foot portion of Carolina Pavilion in Charlotte, North Carolina, consisting of two adjacent vacant anchor boxes (formerly Value City Furniture and Joann Fabrics).

Undisclosed Preferred equity investment in Class A Premier Retail Property $75 million two-year term

Previously announced preferred equity investment in a Class A Premier Retail Property located in the Southwest.

Undisclosed Preferred equity investment in grocery-anchored development $21.4 million 18-month term

Preferred equity investment in a grocery-anchored development located in the Northeast.

Undisclosed First mortgage investment secured by leasehold interest $37 million two-year term

Originated after quarter-end, secured by a leasehold interest in a mixed-use property located in Austin, Texas, of which $29.8 million was funded at closing.

Swig Lease for drive-through customized beverage store

Signed a lease for a drive-through customized beverage store at Marketplace at Seminole Town Center (Orlando Market) in the prior quarter.

Cooper's Hawk Lease for out-parcel development

Signed a lease at Ashley Park (Atlanta Market) for an out-parcel development.

Cheesecake Factory Restaurant space lease

Cheesecake Factory recently opened its nearly 7,000 square feet of restaurant space at The Collection at Foresight in Georgia on July 21st.

Undisclosed anchor tenant Lease negotiations for 10-acre out parcel

Active lease negotiations with an anchor tenant to take possession of the 10-acre out parcel at The Collection at Foresight.

Value City Furniture and Joann Fabrics (former tenants) Disposition of properties $90.7 million

Completed $90.7 million of property dispositions, including Mass & Yards (Atlanta, 163,000 sq ft) and Granada Plaza (Tampa, 74,000 sq ft).

Risks & headwinds

Moderation of Same Property NOI Growth H2 2026

Expected to moderate from beginning of year pace

Mitigation:Management expects healthy growth to continue, but at a moderated pace due to tougher comps from prior year anchor openings and normalized bad debt expense.

Elevated Income Tax Expense Q2 FY26

$1.1 million in Q2 FY26, with $0.8 million related to deferred taxes on unrealized gains

Mitigation:The majority of this expense is related to non-cash deferred taxes on unrealized gains on securities held in the taxable REIT subsidiary and does not affect non-GAAP measures.

Interest Rate Environment Impact on Borrowers Ongoing

Borrowers banking on lower rates to refinance

Mitigation:Management views this as an opportunity for CTO's structured investment platform to provide solutions and increase deal flow.

What to watch in Q3 FY26

Albuquerque Office Property Sale

end of 2026 or early 2027
Current Being prepared for market, State of New Mexico taking possession this fall
Target Sale announced or closed

Why it matters

This represents the last non-core asset to be disposed of, impacting capital recycling and portfolio focus.

Further, the State of New Mexico is expected to take possession of approximately 98,000 square feet at our Albuquerque, New Mexico office property this fall, bringing the property back to full occupancy. Accordingly, we are now preparing to take this property to market. This will represent our last non-core asset to the State.

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Q&A highlights

How will the $6.3 million signed-not-open pipeline be recognized throughout 2027, and is it evenly distributed?

The pipeline will be fairly even throughout 2027. For the remainder of 2026, approximately $400,000 will be recognized in Q3, doubling to about $800,000 in Q4, with most coming online thereafter.

“Over at 27, it'll be pretty even. Going for the remainder of this year, there's probably four or five 400,000 or so that picked up in the third quarter, then that probably doubled to about 800,000 or so in the fourth quarter. And then it's pretty, then everything is almost online. over 90 percent online after that and it's pretty evenly going forward.”

asked by Unknown Speaker · answered by Unknown Speaker

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Detailed narrative

Leasing Momentum and Portfolio Occupancy

CTO Realty Growth demonstrated strong leasing momentum, executing 25 new leases, renewals, and extensions totaling 213,000 square feet in Q2 FY26. Comparable leases, representing 184,000 square feet, achieved a positive cash rent spread of 6%. Year-to-date, the company has completed 366,000 square feet of leasing with a 10% cash rent spread. This activity resulted in a total portfolio occupancy of 95.4% at quarter-end, a 150 basis point increase year-over-year. The signed-not-open pipeline stands at $6.3 million, representing approximately 5.8% of in-place annual cash base rent, providing a visible earnings tailwind into 2027.

Strategic Investment and Disposition Activity

The company continued its capital recycling strategy, acquiring Gallery on the Parkway, a 152,000 square foot retail power center in Dallas, Texas, for $53.3 million at an initial yield of 10.2%. Year-to-date investments totaled $234.2 million at a weighted average yield of 9.5%. On the disposition front, CTO sold $90.7 million of properties, including Mass & Yards in Atlanta and Granada Plaza in Tampa, at a weighted average exit cap rate of 6.7%. These transactions aim to move capital from lower cap rate, stabilized assets to higher-yielding opportunities.

Structured Investment Platform Expansion

CTO's structured investment platform remains a key complement to its strategy. During the quarter, the company originated two preferred equity investments totaling $96.4 million, generating a 12% initial cash yield. Post-quarter, a $37 million first mortgage investment was originated at a 9.75% initial cash yield. The pro forma structured investment portfolio now stands at approximately $222 million, representing 15% of undepreciated assets, with a weighted average yield of approximately 11.5%. Management views the current interest rate environment as creating more opportunities for this platform.

Same Property NOI Performance and Outlook

Shopping centers' same property NOI increased 10.1% for Q2 FY26 and 8.2% year-to-date (7% excluding non-recurring recovery benefits). This growth was primarily driven by new anchor tenant openings and leasing activity. However, management expects same property NOI growth to moderate in the second half of 2026 due to tougher comparable periods, as anchor leases from late 2025 will roll into the prior year comparable base, and bad debt expense is expected to normalize after an unusually low Q3 2025.

Balance Sheet and Capital Management

As of June 30th, CTO reported total debt of $660.8 million, with a weighted average interest rate of 4.6%. Total liquidity stood at $131.8 million, comprising $107 million of undrawn revolving credit facility commitments and $24.8 million cash on hand. The company issued 4.2 million common shares under its ATM program for net proceeds of $83.6 million in Q2, contributing to a reduction in leverage. Net debt to pro forma adjusted EBITDA decreased by 0.6 times from Q1 to 5.8 times, with further deleveraging expected as the signed-not-open pipeline commences rent payments.

Resolution of Non-Core Assets and Vacant Anchor Boxes

CTO is actively working to resolve its remaining non-core assets and vacant anchor boxes. The Albuquerque, New Mexico office property, with 98,000 square feet fully leased to the State of New Mexico, is being prepared for market sale, expected by year-end 2026 or early 2027. Additionally, the company is under contract to sell a 76,500 square foot portion of Carolina Pavilion in Charlotte, consisting of two vacant anchor boxes, which will resolve all but one of the previously discussed vacant anchor spaces. The combined anchor leases and negotiations are expected to yield a positive lease spread of approximately 75%.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.