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HF Sinclair (DINO) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Jun 2026 (Q2 FY26)· Energy· Jul 28, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

HF Sinclair Q2 FY26 — Strong Refining Performance and Lubes Business Spin-off

HF Sinclair delivered a robust second quarter, driven by strong refining margins and operational excellence across segments. The company announced plans to separate its Lubricants and Specialties business into an independent, capital-light public entity, aiming to unlock value and enhance strategic focus. Management emphasized a disciplined capital allocation strategy, balancing shareholder returns with strategic investments in existing assets and growth initiatives like the 'Go West' project.

Highlights

5
  • Adjusted net income increased to $960 million ($5.31 per diluted share) from $322 million ($1.70 per diluted share) in Q2 2025.

  • Refining segment adjusted EBITDA reached $1 billion, up from $476 million in Q2 2025, driven by strong margins and volumes.

  • Crude oil charge averaged 640,000 barrels per day, exceeding guidance and reflecting operational improvements.

  • Renewables segment reported $123 million in adjusted EBITDA, a significant increase from a $2 million loss in Q2 2025.

  • Returned $265 million to shareholders in Q2, including $89 million in dividends and $179 million in share repurchases.

Concerns

3
  • The Mississauga base oil refining assets will be retired due to location, size, and scope, impacting long-term economic contributions.

  • Uncertainty around RINs/SREs relief, with the RIN bank projected to go negative or slightly balanced by year-end.

  • Higher-cost inventories for the Lubricants and Specialties business are expected to be managed through in Q3.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Marketing branded sites growth
approximately 10% annually
medium materiality
High
Go West Phase 1 capacity increase
approximately 35,000 barrels per day
high materiality
High
Go West Phase 1 online date
2029
high materiality
High
El Dorado vacuum furnace project completion
during the fall turnaround
medium materiality
High
Refining crude oil charge
590,000 to 620,000 barrels per day
high materiality
High
Lubes and Specialties EBITDA (post-spin)
$300 million to $350 million
high materiality
Medium

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
Refining
Adjusted EBITDA increased significantly from $476 million in Q2 2025, driven by strong refining margins and volumes in the Mid-Con and West regions due to steady demand, tight supply, and favorable crack spreads. Exceeded guidance range for crude oil charge.
Crude oil charge: 640,000 barrels per dayCrude oil charge (Q2 2025): 616,000 barrels per day
———$1 billion adjusted EBITDA
Marketing
EBITDA increased from $25 million in Q2 2025. Continued progress in adding branded sites and seeing year-over-year volume increases in the branded channel. Expects to grow branded sites by approximately 10% annually.
Total branded fuel sales volumes: 387 million gallonsTotal branded fuel sales volumes (Q2 2025): 337 million gallonsBranded sites added: 63Branded sites in pipeline: >100
———$28 million EBITDA
Midstream
Adjusted EBITDA was consistent with the same period in 2025. Evaluating and developing a multiphase initiative ('Go West') to leverage logistics in the Rockies and support increasing demand across Western markets.
———$112 million adjusted EBITDA
Renewables
Adjusted EBITDA significantly improved from a loss of $2 million in Q2 2025, primarily driven by increased RINs price, higher producers tax credit benefits, and increased volumes. Excludes a $30 million inventory valuation adjustment and $47 million asset impairment.
Total sales volumes: 60 million gallonsTotal sales volumes (Q2 2025): 55 million gallons
———$123 million adjusted EBITDA
Lubricants and Specialties
Adjusted EBITDA increased from $55 million in Q2 2025, primarily due to higher sales volumes and product prices. Recognized a FIFO benefit of $46 million compared to a FIFO charge of $20 million in Q2 2025.
———$207 million adjusted EBITDA

DINO operating KPIs by quarter

DINO operating KPIs stated on its earnings calls, by fiscal quarter
KPI Mar 2026 Q1 FY26This call Jun 2026 Q2 FY26Change vs prior quarter
Turnaround spend
$119M Net cash provided by operations totaled $457 million in the first quarter, which included $119 million of turnaround spend. Source: earnings call transcript
$56M Net cash provided by operations totaled $1.5 billion in the second quarter, which includes $56 million of turnaround spend. Source: earnings call transcript
-52.9%

Operating figures the company stated on at least two of the calls shown, checked against each call's transcript. Click a figure to read the sentence. A dash means it was not stated that quarter.

Deals & partnerships

Lubes Business Separation of Lubricants and Specialties segment into a new independent public company. 12 to 18 months

The separation will create a new independent public company, executed over the next 12 to 18 months. The base oil refining assets in Mississauga will be retired. The finished product business will continue through new strategic commercial agreements with two premier global base oil manufacturers, complemented by access to products from the Tulsa refinery.

Green Trail Fuels JV Joint venture in marketing.

Encouraged by the integration and early performance of the Green Trail Fuels JV in marketing.

Two premier global base oil manufacturers Strategic commercial agreements for base oil supply and distribution.

The independent lubes business will continue to deliver base oil solutions through new strategic commercial agreements with two premier global base oil manufacturers, complemented by continued access to products from the Tulsa refinery.

Capital programs

El Dorado Turnaround planned
Start: September 2026

Planned turnaround scheduled to commence in September, impacting Q3 FY26 refining throughput guidance.

Cheyenne Turnaround planned
Start: Q3 FY26

Planned turnaround schedule to begin in the third quarter at the Cheyenne facility in the Renewables segment.

Go West Multiphase Initiative (Phase 1) underway

Benefit:35,000 barrels per day capacity increase

First phase of a multiphase initiative to leverage logistics network and production advantage in the Rockies to support increasing demand across Western markets. Targeted to be online in 2029, moving supply from Rockies production into Nevada. FID on Phase 1 expected this year.

El Dorado Vacuum Furnace Project on track

Benefit:enhance operational reliability, improve product yields, enable processing of up to an additional 10,000 barrels per day of heavy crude

Project remains on track for completion during the fall turnaround. Expected to enhance operational reliability and improve product yields while enabling processing of up to an additional 10,000 barrels per day of heavy crude within the feedstock slate.

Risks & headwinds

Middle East conflict impact on product markets ongoing

China withdrew from buying crude and suspended exporting products; reduced consumption led to stabilized crude prices.

Mitigation:Monitoring Singapore crack spreads as an indicator; company sees markets being constructive for next several quarters, potentially into 2028.

Lubes base oil supply disruption near-term

As much as 20% of the world's base oil supply for lubes being off-line, primarily Group III base oils.

Mitigation:Team has sourced feedstocks from Gulf Coast and overseas to maintain production at Mississauga facility; new strategic commercial agreements for base oil supply post-spin.

Mississauga base oil refining assets retirement next 12-18 months

Assets will be retired; combination of location, size, and scope reached a point where long-term economic contributions are not viable.

Mitigation:Part of the lubes business separation; finished product business will source base oils from other manufacturers and Tulsa refinery, moving to a capital-light model.

RINs/SREs uncertainty and compliance burden near-term

RIN bank projected to go negative or slightly balanced by year-end; compliance deadline is September 1.

Mitigation:Engaged with Washington and trade organizations; expecting imminent relief from SREs, especially after favorable D.C. Court ruling for Parker's eligibility in 2024.

Higher-cost inventories for Lubes Q3 FY26

Will see some more higher-cost inventories that will be managed through.

Mitigation:Team is doing an exceptional job of recovering those costs as they progress; demand for finished lubricants and specialties business remains stable.

What to watch in Q3 FY26

Lubes business separation progress

next quarter
Current Announced, 12-18 month timeline
Target Additional information and estimated costs for separation

Why it matters

This is a major strategic move to unlock shareholder value and redefine the company's portfolio.

We are early in the separation process, and we'll provide additional information as appropriate.

Find out whether DINO delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

How does the current strong gasoline market, alongside diesel strength, benefit HF Sinclair, specifically in the Mid-Con and West regions?

Management noted that while distillate has been a global geopolitical story, gasoline markets are also tight. Mid-Con cracks are tightening due to less supply moving north. Overall demand is healthy, and inventories are below the 5-year average, creating a supportive crack environment. The West region has some diesel softness due to bio/RD coming online but overall markets are strong.

“But yes, the overall flows in terms of gasoline have been tight, and there's some export capability that's happening out of both regions in the Gulf and the West Coast or to the West Coast from the Gulf.”

asked by Manav Gupta · answered by Steven Ledbetter

2 min read 5 chapters

Detailed narrative

Lubes Business Separation and Strategic Rationale

HF Sinclair announced plans to separate its Lubricants and Specialties segment into a new independent public company, expected to be tax-efficient for stockholders and executed over 12 to 18 months. The separation aims to enhance strategic focus, operational agility, and capital deployment for both entities. The base oil refining assets in Mississauga will be retired, with the finished product business sourcing base oils through new strategic commercial agreements and continued access from the Tulsa refinery. The independent lubes business will operate on a capital-light model for greater financial flexibility and stronger free cash flow.

Refining Performance and Market Dynamics

The Refining segment delivered strong financial results, with crude oil charge averaging 640,000 barrels per day, exceeding guidance. This performance was driven by favorable market conditions, strong refining margins, and operational excellence, particularly in the Mid-Con and West regions. Management noted tight global distillate and gasoline markets, with U.S. and regional inventories below the 5-year average, contributing to a supportive crack environment. The company continues to focus on optimizing its integrated kit and extending value chains to maximize product value.

Marketing and Renewables Segment Highlights

The Marketing segment added 63 branded sites in Q2 and expects to grow branded sites by approximately 10% annually, with year-over-year volume increases. The Renewables segment reported strong adjusted EBITDA of $123 million, benefiting from favorable market conditions, increased RINs prices, and higher producers tax credit benefits. The company is progressing a multiphase initiative to leverage its Rockies logistics network, with Phase 1 targeting a 35,000 bpd capacity increase by 2029 to move supply into Nevada.

Capital Allocation and Investment Strategy

HF Sinclair returned $265 million to shareholders in Q2, including $89 million in dividends and $179 million in share repurchases, maintaining a commitment to distributing approximately 50% of free cash flow. The company increased its quarterly dividend by 5% to $0.525 per share. Management emphasized a disciplined approach to capital deployment, evaluating opportunities for technology investments and smaller, high-return M&A in Marketing and Midstream, while being comfortable carrying excess cash until final investment decisions are made.

RINs and Regulatory Environment

The company is actively engaged with Washington regarding its Renewable Identification Number (RIN) applications, particularly for its small refinery exemptions (SREs). Petitions for 2025 are pending, and historical petitions for 2023 and 2024 are awaiting resolution, with a recent favorable court ruling for Parker's eligibility in 2024. Management expressed concern about the projected negative or slightly balanced RIN bank by year-end and expects imminent relief from SREs to offset compliance burdens.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.