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    FOUR
    Earnings call· Dec 2025(Q4 FY25)

    Shift4 Payments Q4 FY25 earnings call FOUR

    Feb 26, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Shift4 Payments, Inc. Q4 FY25 — Record Results, Global Expansion, and Strategic Simplification

    Shift4 Payments concluded FY25 with record financial performance, driven by strategic M&A and global expansion into the experience economy. The company is simplifying its corporate structure and rebranding key products to leverage its broader brand presence, while navigating macro headwinds like a volatile U.S. dollar and regional tensions. Management remains focused on disciplined capital allocation and international growth, particularly in Europe and Asia, with a balanced approach to growth and margins.

    Highlights

    5
    • Produced record gross revenue less network fees (GRLNF) of $1.98 billion for FY25, representing 46% year-over-year growth.

    • Achieved adjusted EBITDA of $970 million for FY25, up 43% year-over-year, with 49% margins.

    • Delivered $500 million in adjusted free cash flow for FY25, exceeding the guided conversion range by 150 basis points.

    • Successfully integrated Global Blue and Smartpay, expanding global footprint to over 75 countries and adding over 80,000 merchants outside the Americas.

    • Repurchased 7.7 million shares (4.3 million in Q4 FY25, 3.4 million in Q1 FY26) under a $1 billion authorization.

    Concerns

    3
    • Q4 FY25 GRLNF was towards the lower end of guidance, as enterprise volume outperformance did not fully offset the continuation of Q3's same-store sales trends among Americas SMBs, further impacted by late Q4 weather events.

    • Weakening U.S. dollar relative to the euro and rising cross-border travel tensions between China and Japan are anticipated headwinds for tax-free shopping demand in FY26.

    • Adjusted free cash flow conversion is expected to moderate to approximately 42% in FY26, primarily due to the annualization of interest expense, lower interest income from cash balances, and Global Blue integration investments.

    Guidance & targets

    17
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Volume
    $240 billion to $260 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Blended spreads
    stable, remaining above 60 basis points
    high materiality
    High
    Gross revenue less network fees (GRLNF)
    $2.5 billion to $2.6 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Payments-based revenue less network fees growth
    mid-teens percentage growth
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Payments-based revenue less network fees growth
    high 20 percentage growth
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Tax-free shopping growth
    mid-single-digit pro forma growth
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Subscription and other revenue growth
    low single-digit growth
    low materiality
    Low
    Adjusted EBITDA
    $1.165 billion to $1.215 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Non-GAAP EPS
    $5.50 to $5.70
    high materiality
    High
    Effective tax rate
    26%
    medium materiality
    High
    Adjusted free cash flow
    $490 million to $510 million
    high materiality
    High
    Adjusted free cash flow conversion
    approximately 42%
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Net leverage
    not exceed 3x to 3.75x
    high materiality
    High
    Gross revenue less network fees (GRLNF)
    $548 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Adjusted EBITDA
    $233 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Adjusted free cash flow
    $70 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Gross revenue
    $1.05 billion
    medium materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    2
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Americas Payments-based revenue less network fees
    Expected to deliver mid-teens percentage growth in FY26, viewed as more than 3x the baseline growth of the comparable market.
    mid-teens percentage growth
    Worldwide, excluding Americas Payments-based revenue less network fees
    Expected to deliver high 20 percentage growth in FY26, benefiting from market-leading solutions, disruption of unintegrated bank-distributed markets, and excess capital allocation through acquisitions like Global Blue and Smartpay.
    high 20 percentage growth

    Operational metrics

    21
    Gross revenue
    $4.18B
    FY25

    Above the high end of the range provided last quarter.

    Gross revenue less network fees (GRLNF)
    $1.98B46% YoY growth
    FY25

    Excluding Global Blue and Smartpay, GRLNF grew roughly 23% YoY in FY25.

    Adjusted EBITDA
    $970M43% YoY growth
    FY25

    Achieved with 49% adjusted EBITDA margins.

    Adjusted EBITDA margin
    49%
    FY25

    Reflects healthy operating margins despite ongoing investments.

    Adjusted free cash flow conversion
    56%
    FY25

    Exceeded guided range by 150 basis points.

    Non-GAAP EPS
    $1.60
    FY25

    For the full year.

    Gross revenue
    $1.189B34% YoY growth
    Q4 FY25

    For the fourth quarter.

    Gross revenue less network fees (GRLNF)
    $610M51% YoY growth
    Q4 FY25

    Towards the lower end of guidance range due to enterprise outperformance not offsetting SMB same-store sales trends and weather events.

    Adjusted EBITDA
    $304M48% YoY growth
    Q4 FY25

    Delivering a 50% margin.

    Adjusted EBITDA margin
    50%
    Q4 FY25

    For the fourth quarter.

    Adjusted free cash flow conversion
    56%
    Q4 FY25

    From adjusted EBITDA.

    Adjusted free cash flow per share
    $1.76
    Q4 FY25

    On a non-GAAP per share basis.

    Net leverage
    3.4x
    year-end FY25

    Includes effects of November activity (repaying 2025 convertible notes, issuing incremental euro-denominated senior notes, repricing term loan).

    Term loan repricing savings
    50
    run rate

    Generated from repricing term loan in November.

    Incremental adjusted free cash flow conversion
    59%
    FY26

    Implied conversion if isolating flow-through of adjusted free cash flow, excluding interest expense and integration investment impacts.

    Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
    13%
    FY23-FY24 average

    Consistently exceeded the midpoint of WACC range by 300 to 400 basis points.

    SkyTab merchants outside Americas
    80,000
    end of FY25

    Across the U.K., Ireland, and Germany, before cross-selling any Global Blue merchants.

    Code production
    doubling
    recent

    Result of broader adoption of AI tools within technology teams.

    Tax Receivable Agreement (TRA) payments eliminated
    $440M
    future

    Estimated future TRA payments permanently eliminated by founder transferring benefits to the company.

    Founder's Class A share ownership
    27%
    post-simplification

    Approximately 27% of outstanding Class A shares with pari passu voting rights.

    Passenger seats
    down almost 30%
    recent

    Due to tourism tension, impacting tax-free shopping business.

    Industry KPIs

    3
    MetricValueDetails
    Capital returns$1BUSD
    Payments volume gdv$209BUSD
    Net revenue yield take rate61bps

    Product announcements

    2
    ProductTypeDetails
    All-in-one payments, DCC, and tax-free shopping terminallaunch
    SkyTabupdate

    Deals & partnerships

    6
    Global BlueAcquisition of a market share leader in tax-free shopping capabilities for luxury retail merchants.

    Closed in July (FY25), Global Blue has the #1 global market share and 4x relative market share to its nearest competitor. Its business remained resilient despite macro headwinds.

    SmartpayAcquisition providing entry into Australia and New Zealand markets.

    Acquisition enabled entry into the Australia and New Zealand markets with an established sales force.

    Eigen and GivexAcquisitions that brought world-class customer relationships in Canada.

    Inherited many world-class customer relationships in Canada, where Shift4 recently gained full stack capabilities.

    BamboraAcquisition of a payment processing company.

    The FY26 guidance includes the close of Bambora, which is expected to take place in the next couple of days.

    XAIPartnership for broad-based adoption of AI tools.

    Partnered with XAI for broad-based adoption of CROC in virtually every area of the business, including AI assistance within key products and predictive models.

    PalantirPartnership for powering mission control platform.several years

    Palantir has been powering Shift4's mission control platform for several years.

    Risks & headwinds

    7
    Weakening U.S. dollar relative to the euroFY26

    negative impact on demand

    Mitigation: Diversity of end markets and disciplined customer acquisition afford resiliency.

    Cross-border travel tension in AsiaFY26

    passenger seats down almost 30% between China and Japan

    Mitigation: Diversity of end markets and disciplined customer acquisition afford resiliency.

    Continuation of Q3's same-store sales trends among Americas SMBsH1 FY26

    impacted Q4 FY25 GRLNF, expected to continue in H1 FY26

    Mitigation: Diversity of end markets and disciplined customer acquisition afford resiliency; anticipation of positive rebound in H2 FY26.

    Late Q4 weather eventsQ4 FY25

    impacted Americas SMBs

    Mitigation: Diversity of end markets and disciplined customer acquisition afford resiliency.

    Annualization of interest expenseFY26

    contributes to moderation of FY26 adjusted free cash flow conversion to ~42%

    Mitigation: Management focuses on capital allocation and ROIC to drive value creation.

    Lower interest income due to relative cash balancesFY26

    contributes to moderation of FY26 adjusted free cash flow conversion to ~42%

    Mitigation: Management focuses on capital allocation and ROIC to drive value creation.

    Global Blue related impacts (integration investments and seasonality)FY26

    contributes to moderation of FY26 adjusted free cash flow conversion to ~42%

    Mitigation: Integration investments are expected to drive future growth and revenue synergies; management focuses on capital allocation and ROIC to drive value creation.

    What to watch in Q1 FY26

    5

    Same-store sales trends in Americas SMBs

    H2 FY26
    CurrentContinuation of softer trends from Q4 FY25
    TargetPositive rebound

    Why it matters

    Indicates underlying health of core SMB business and macro environment, crucial for overall revenue growth.

    In the first half of the year, we're anticipating that there's a continuation of the kind of exit rate trends that we were seeing within the Triple S. And that seems to be holding up even though we had what looks like a little bit of a continuation of softer trends in January, February was looking strong, but you have to offset some of that with weather events. But I think in total, you end up with a place that says, that the first half of the year assume similar trends to what you were seeing coming out of the end of the year. And then in the back half, an assumption that there will be an anniversary over some softer comps, and you see some positive rebound.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    Clarification on the level of conservatism and organic growth assumptions embedded in the FY26 guidance, particularly regarding macro factors and same-store sales trends.

    Management explained the guidance assumes a 'fairly neutral' year for same-store sales (Triple-S) in the Americas, which is a few points lower than historical trends, with H1 continuing Q4 trends and H2 seeing a rebound. They also highlighted the negative impact of a weakening USD on tax-free shopping demand and geopolitical tensions in Asia.

    Overall, though, I think the outlook for the year is a fairly neutral view, which is admittedly a couple of points lower, like low single-digit points lower than what might have existed in years past as we were laying out kind of Triple S impact within an overall outlook for the year.

    asked by Darrin Peller · answered by Christopher Cruz

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Global Expansion and Vertical Strategy

    Shift4's strategy focuses on powering the 'experience economy,' enabling businesses in demanding verticals such as luxury retail, hospitality, and sports. The company carefully selects verticals where the competitive landscape is narrow, often facing one or fewer strong competitors. Leveraging 28 years of experience, Shift4 is expanding its global footprint, now present in over 75 countries, aided by strategic acquisitions like Global Blue and Smartpay, which provide beachheads for deploying market-leading solutions.

    02

    Global Blue Integration and Synergies

    The acquisition of Global Blue, a market share leader in tax-free shopping, is progressing as planned, with revenue synergies expected to materialize in FY26. A key initiative is the piloting and rollout of an all-in-one payments, DCC, and tax-free shopping terminal across Europe. This product, which includes eligibility detection at the point of payment, is targeting launch in 15 countries in 2026 to attract new retail merchants and facilitate the deployment of Shift4's restaurant, hotel, and stadium products.

    03

    U.S. Market Share and DCC Opportunity

    In the U.S., Shift4 continues to focus on gaining market share within its key verticals. A significant opportunity lies in enabling Dynamic Currency Conversion (DCC) across its existing merchant base. This is particularly valuable in anticipation of major international events like the World Cup in 2026 and the Summer Olympics in 2028, which are expected to drive increased international visitor spending and provide a substantial benefit to U.S. customers.

    04

    Product Rebranding and AI Initiatives

    To better leverage its broader brand presence and integrate its offerings within the experience economy, Shift4 plans to rebrand SkyTab to Shift4 Dine later in the year. The company is also making extensive investments in AI, partnering with XAI for broad adoption of CROC across its business. AI tools are being deployed to assist with customer inquiries, build predictive models for churn prevention, and enhance code production within technology teams, demonstrating a long-standing commitment to advanced analytics through its Palantir partnership.

    05

    Corporate Structure Simplification

    Shift4 successfully completed a simplification transaction, collapsing all B and C shares previously held by its founder into Class A common stock. This eliminates the company's 'controlled company' status under NYSE rules. The founder, Jared, now holds approximately 27% of outstanding Class A shares with pari passu voting rights. Additionally, Jared has agreed to transfer all future benefits of his tax receivable agreement to the company, permanently eliminating an estimated $440 million in future TRA payments, significantly enhancing governance and capital structure appeal.

    06

    Capital Allocation and Value Creation

    Shift4 maintains a disciplined and balanced approach to capital allocation, prioritizing customer acquisition, product investment, strategic acquisitions, and share repurchases based on relative value. The company has a proven track record of value creation, with its Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) averaging approximately 13% in FY23 and FY24, consistently exceeding its Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) by 300 to 400 basis points. This demonstrates that its acquisition strategy has been accretive to both top-line growth and shareholder value.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.