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    HSAI
    Earnings call· Dec 2025(Q4 FY25)

    Hesai Group Q4 FY25 earnings call HSAI

    Mar 24, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Hesai Group Q4 FY25 — Achieves Industry-First Full-Year GAAP Profitability and Raises 2026 Lidar Shipment Outlook

    Hesai Group achieved a landmark year in FY25, becoming the first lidar company to reach full-year GAAP profitability, driven by strong revenue growth and operational efficiency. The company is aggressively expanding its market leadership in both ADAS and Robotics, raising its 2026 shipment guidance significantly. Looking ahead, Hesai is positioning itself as a key enabler of physical AI, with plans to launch two new product lines ("eyes" and "muscles") expected to become a second growth engine.

    Highlights

    5
    • Achieved industry-first full-year GAAP net income of $62 million (RMB 436 million) in FY25.

    • Secured over 40% share of the long-range automotive lidar market in 2025.

    • Raised 2026 lidar shipment outlook to between 3 million and 3.5 million units, doubling 2025 volumes.

    • Delivered record net revenues of $433 million (RMB 3 billion) in FY25, up 46% YoY.

    • Achieved positive operating cash flow of $17 million (RMB 117 million) for the third consecutive year.

    Concerns

    2
    • Anticipates a potential decrease in blended ASP for 2026 due to volume-based pricing and a shift towards lower-priced ADAS products.

    • Expects a sequential decrease in Q1 FY26 deliveries compared to Q4 FY25 due to typical automotive industry seasonality and holidays.

    Guidance & targets

    11
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Total Lidar Shipments
    3 million to 3.5 million units
    high materiality
    High
    Net Revenues
    RMB 650 million and RMB 700 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Total Lidar Shipments
    400,000 to 450,000 lidar units
    medium materiality
    High
    Robotics Lidar Shipments
    around 100,000 units
    low materiality
    High
    Robotics Lidar Shipments
    at least double
    medium materiality
    High
    Operating Expenses (excluding new business spend)
    flat or even down in single digits
    medium materiality
    High
    Overall Operating Expenses
    modest mid-teen increase
    medium materiality
    Medium
    New Products Revenue Contribution
    beginning as early as 2026
    medium materiality
    Medium
    New Products Business Scale
    rival or surpass our lidar segment
    high materiality
    Medium
    New Products Business Scale
    scale another tenfold
    high materiality
    Medium
    Revenue Momentum
    strengthen progressively each quarter
    low materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    2
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    ADAS
    Hesai achieved 100% lidar adoption on best-selling models from partners like Li Auto and Xiaomi and penetrated the sub-RMB 100,000 price segment with Leapmotor. The revamped ATX lidar, powered by FMC500 SoC, is expected to begin SOP in April 2026.
    Cumulative ADAS Lidars Delivered: Over 2 million unitsLong-range Automotive Lidar Market Share: Over 40% (2025)ADAS Design Wins: 2,026Automotive Brands with ADAS Design Wins: 40Vehicle Models with ADAS Design Wins: Over 160Order Backlog (revamped ATX lidar): Exceeding 6 million units
    Robotics
    The Robotics business is blooming across various verticals, including humanoid robots, robotaxis, robovans, and robotic lawn mowers. The JT128 lidar was showcased at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala. The company expects Robotics lidar volumes to at least double in 2026.
    Robotics Lidar Shipments (FY25): Nearly 240,000 unitsJT Series Shipments (first year): Over 200,000 unitsRobotics Lidar Submarkets Ranking: #1 across multiple major submarkets (GGII, Yole Group, Frost & Sullivan)Robotic Lawn Mowers Order Backlog (Dreame and MOVA): Over 10 million lidar unitsHumanoid and Quadruped Robot Segment Shipments (FY26 outlook): 5-digit levels

    Operational metrics

    19
    GAAP Net Income
    $62 million
    FY25

    Industry-first full year GAAP net income.

    GAAP Net Income excluding after-tax gains from equity investments
    $41 million
    FY25

    Provides a clearer view of core operational profitability.

    Non-GAAP Net Income
    $79 million
    FY25

    Achieved for 5 consecutive quarters.

    Non-GAAP Net Income excluding after-tax gains from equity investments
    $58 million
    FY25

    Provides a clearer view of core operational profitability on a non-GAAP basis.

    Net Assets
    $1.3 billion
    FY25

    Reflects a robust balance sheet.

    Operating Expenses Decrease
    $13 milliondown YoY
    FY25

    Despite substantial revenue growth, reflecting strong operating leverage and efficiency gains from AI.

    ATX Lidar Price
    $150
    2026

    Near an optimized cost structure, future declines expected to narrow.

    Lidar Content per Vehicle
    $500 to $1,000
    Future

    Driven by Level 3 vehicle deployment and multi-lidar setups.

    R&D Investment in New Products
    RMB 200 million
    FY26

    Primary driver for the modest mid-teen increase in overall OpEx.

    AI Cost Savings
    tens of millions of renminbi
    Cumulative

    Achieved through proactive AI adoption across R&D, manufacturing, and operations.

    Lidar Adoption
    FY25

    Achieved with Leapmotor, marking lidar as a core safety feature in mainstream vehicles.

    Lidar Adoption Rate
    100%
    FY25

    Demonstrates lidar becoming a standard feature.

    Robotics Lidar Shipments
    240,000 units
    FY25

    Volume expected to at least double in 2026.

    Total Lidar Shipments
    1.6 million unitstripling from last year
    FY25

    Underpinned by substantial ramp in production volumes.

    Gross Margin
    over 40%
    FY25

    Remained healthy despite substantial revenue growth.

    Robovan Market Scale
    5 digits to 6 digits
    2026

    Projected to scale, with each robovan typically featuring 2 to 6 lidars.

    Global Annual Lawn Mower Sales
    about 20 million units
    Annual

    Highlights a huge untapped market for lidar-equipped robotic lawn mowers.

    Lidar-equipped Robotic Lawn Mowers Penetration
    1% to 2%
    Current

    Indicates a huge untapped market.

    Electric 2-wheelers Sold Annually in China
    Over 10 million
    Annual

    Represents a massive market for automotive-grade 3D perception.

    Industry KPIs

    4
    MetricValueDetails
    Revenue$433 millionUSD
    Net income$62 millionUSD
    Gross marginover 40%%
    Market shareover 40%%

    Product announcements

    5
    ProductTypeDetails
    Revamped ATX lidarupdate
    ETX ultra high-performance long-range lidarlaunch
    Eyes of Physical AIroadmap
    Muscles of Physical AIroadmap
    FTX lidarexpansion

    Deals & partnerships

    7
    GrabStrategic partnership for exclusive regional distributorship in Southeast Asia.

    Grab is Southeast Asia's leading super app.

    NVIDIASelected as the primary lidar partner for NVIDIA's DRIVE Hyperion 10 platform.

    Also joined NVIDIA Halo AI Systems Inspection Lab to advance safety in autonomous vehicles and robotics.

    Li Auto, Xiaomi, BYD, Leapmotor, Great Wall Motors, ChanganSecured ADAS design wins.

    Secured 2,026 design wins with key partners, many on an exclusive basis.

    BAIC and FAW BestuneJoining SOP roster.

    Leading automakers joining SOP roster.

    Top European OEMExclusive multiyear design win.multiyear

    Sample deliveries firmly on track.

    Dreame and MOVAExclusive supply agreement for JT lidars for robotic lawn mowers.

    Dreame and MOVA ranked #1 globally for lidar robotic mowers in 2025.

    NIU TechnologiesDesign win for next-gen electric 2-wheel model featuring FTX lidar.

    Features FTX lidar.

    Risks & headwinds

    2
    Potential decrease in blended ASP2026

    mainly due to modest volume-based pricing and a shift in product mix towards lower unit price products like AT series, FT series, and JT series (typically around $100-$200 each).

    Mitigation: Expected to be offset by structural growth (more lidars per vehicle), high-performance L3 products (ETX), expansion beyond China, and resilient gross margins through cost optimization and chip technology.

    Seasonal decrease in Q1 deliveriesQ1 FY26

    sequential decrease compared to Q4 FY25

    Mitigation: Consistent with historical patterns; fundamental demand remains strong, and both revenues and shipment volumes are expected to increase sequentially over the course of 2026.

    What to watch in Q1 FY26

    5

    Revamped ATX lidar SOP

    Next quarter (Q2 FY26)
    CurrentExpected SOP in April 2026
    TargetConfirmation of SOP commencement

    Why it matters

    The revamped ATX has an order backlog exceeding 6 million units, and its successful SOP is crucial for meeting demand and driving ADAS volume.

    With an order backlog exceeding 6 million units, it positions us strongly for the next phase of mass adoption and is expected to begin SOP in April 2026.

    Q&A highlights

    8

    Details on robotaxi, robovan, humanoid robot segments, and their expected performance in 2026 and beyond.

    Management detailed leadership positions in humanoid/quadruped robots (expecting 5-digit shipments in 2026), robotaxis (world's largest supplier, 5-10 lidars per vehicle), robovans (core supplier, 2-6 lidars per vehicle, market scaling to 6 digits in 2026), and robotic lawn mowers (secured 10 million JT lidar units agreement). Robotics lidar volumes are expected to at least double in 2026 from 240,000 units in 2025.

    After shipping 200,000 Robotics lidar units in 2025, accelerating momentum across these segments gives us full confidence that volumes will at least double in 2026.

    asked by Tina Hou · answered by Peng Fan

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    FY25 Performance Highlights

    Hesai Group achieved a significant milestone in 2025, reporting an industry-first full-year GAAP net income of $62 million (RMB 436 million). This profitability was supported by record net revenues of $433 million (RMB 3 billion), a 46% year-over-year increase, and total lidar shipments exceeding 1.6 million units, tripling the prior year's volume. The company also maintained a healthy gross margin over 40% and generated $17 million (RMB 117 million) in positive operating cash flow for the third consecutive year.

    02

    ADAS Market Leadership and Expansion

    Hesai solidified its leadership in the ADAS market, achieving over 40% share of the long-range automotive lidar market in 2025. The company secured 2,026 design wins with major OEMs like Li Auto, Xiaomi, BYD, and Leapmotor, covering 40 automotive brands and over 160 vehicle models. Lidar is increasingly becoming a standard safety feature, even penetrating the sub-RMB 100,000 price segment. The revamped ATX lidar, powered by the in-house FMC500 SoC, has an order backlog exceeding 6 million units and is set to begin SOP in April 2026.

    03

    Level 3 and Multi-Lidar Adoption

    The regulatory environment in China is enabling Level 3 autonomous driving deployment, which is expected to significantly increase lidar content per vehicle to 3 to 6 units. Hesai's FTX blind spot sensors and ETX ultra high-performance long-range lidar are purpose-built for Level 3 demands, with ETX expected to begin SOP by 2026. Multi-lidar design wins with Li Auto, Xiaomi, and Changan are planned for SOP in 2026-2027, signaling a value creation cycle similar to smartphone cameras.

    04

    International Growth and NVIDIA Partnership

    Hesai is expanding its global footprint through strategic partnerships, including an exclusive regional distributorship with Grab in Southeast Asia. A significant development is the selection as the primary lidar partner for NVIDIA's DRIVE Hyperion 10 platform, which is expected to accelerate international scaling by offering a turnkey solution to OEMs. This integration positions Hesai as a default choice for autonomous driving systems on the NVIDIA platform, leveraging a unified high-performance lidar architecture across global markets.

    05

    Robotics Business and Physical AI

    The Robotics business is experiencing rapid growth, with Hesai ranking #1 across major robotics lidar submarkets, including humanoid/quadruped robots, robotaxis, robovans, and robotic lawn mowers. Robotics lidar shipments are expected to at least double in 2026 from 240,000 units in 2025. The company views lidar as an indispensable bridge for "physical AI," providing sub-centimeter spatial accuracy for robots operating in the real world. New applications like electric 2-wheelers also feature Hesai's FTX lidar.

    06

    New Growth Engines: "Eyes" and "Muscles"

    Hesai plans to launch two groundbreaking product lines, referred to as the "eyes" and "muscles" of physical AI, targeting multi-trillion RMB addressable markets. These products aim to enhance perception and motion control for robots and autonomous systems. Initial revenue contributions are anticipated as early as 2026, with the potential to rival or surpass the lidar segment within five years and scale tenfold within a decade, positioning Hesai as a key enabler of physical AI.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.