Detailed Narrative
AI Strategy and Monetization
News Corp positions itself as an "AI inputs company," leveraging its extensive archive and contemporary content. The company has secured partnerships with Meta and OpenAI and is in advanced negotiations with other AI firms, expecting positive revenue and profitability impacts. It also anticipates proceeds from the $1.5 billion Anthropic settlement, reinforcing the value of its intellectual property. Management emphasizes the imperative of IP for AI engines, which require constant updates to remain relevant.
Dow Jones' Strategic Pivot
Dow Jones continues its transformation into a news and digital intelligence platform, driven by strong organic growth and strategic M&A. The Professional Information business, including Risk and Compliance (up 19% to $100M) and Dow Jones Energy (up 12% to $77M), is a key driver of profitability, contributing to Dow Jones' 13 consecutive quarters of EBITDA growth. The segment aims for $1 billion in annual segment EBITDA within five years.
Digital Real Estate Resilience
The Digital Real Estate Services segment demonstrated strength despite challenging housing markets in Australia and the U.S. Realtor.com's revenue rose 10% to $148M, driven by retooling efforts, targeting premium homes, and successful expansion into adjacencies like seller, new homes, and rentals. REA Group's revenue grew 20% (8% constant currency), benefiting from increased yield and product development, with Australian residential new buy listings up 19% in April.
Book Publishing Outperformance
HarperCollins delivered a strong quarter, with EBITDA rising 14% and revenue increasing 8%, significantly outpacing overall industry trends. This performance was boosted by higher digital sales, with e-books surging 17% and audiobooks growing 7%. The segment benefited from strong demand for titles like Rachel Reid's "Heated Rivalry" and anticipates further success from upcoming frontlist releases.
News Media Investment and Transformation
The News Media segment saw a 5% revenue increase but a decline in profits due to investment in new projects, notably the launch of the California Post. Despite the profit decline, the company is encouraged by traffic trends and engagement for the California Post and reported a 7% gain in subscribers for The Times and The Sunday Times (676,000). Digital advertising for The Sun also rebounded with double-digit growth.
Shareholder Returns and Valuation
News Corp continues to accelerate its share buyback program, repurchasing $193 million in Q3, bringing fiscal year-to-date repurchases to $459 million. Management believes the stock is materially undervalued relative to its net asset value, with buybacks benefiting from the $380 million Foxtel shareholder loan repayment and robust free cash flow.