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    PRMB
    Earnings call· Dec 2025(Q4 FY25)

    Primo Brands Q4 FY25 earnings call PRMB

    Feb 26, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Primo Brands Q4 FY25 — Direct Delivery Recovery and FY26 Growth Outlook

    Primo Brands reported a mixed Q4 FY25, with comparable net sales declining but adjusted EBITDA and margins expanding significantly, driven by premium brands and cost efficiencies. The direct delivery business showed signs of recovery with improving KPIs, though full stabilization is ongoing. The company is focused on returning to top-line growth in FY26, with a balanced approach to volume and price, and disciplined capital allocation including a 20% dividend increase and continued share repurchases.

    Highlights

    5
    • Q4 comparable adjusted EBITDA increased 11% to $334.1 million, with margin expanding 260 basis points to 21.5%.

    • Full-year 2025 comparable adjusted EBITDA grew 7.4% to $1.447 billion, with margin up 170 basis points to 21.7%.

    • Premium brands Saratoga and Mountain Valley net sales increased 44% for FY25 and 39% in Q4.

    • Adjusted free cash flow for FY25 grew $105.4 million to $750.3 million.

    • Customer calls reduced to pre-merger levels and customer net adds improved as the company exited the year.

    Concerns

    5
    • Q4 comparable net sales decreased 2.5% to $1.554 billion, driven by a 2.9% volume decline.

    • Full-year 2025 comparable net sales declined 1% to $6.660 billion, impacted by a 0.6% volume decrease and 0.4% price/mix decrease.

    • Direct delivery channel net sales were down 3.2% for FY25, with Q4 declines of 5.3% (improving from Q3's 6.5% decline).

    • FY25 net sales were negatively impacted by a $17.6 million headwind from Leap Day 2024 and $27.4 million from Hawkins tornado disruptions.

    • The exit of the office coffee services business contributed 40 basis points to the 1% full-year sales decline.

    Guidance & targets

    11
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Comparable net sales growth
    0% to 1%
    high materiality
    High
    Adjusted EBITDA
    $1.485 billion to $1.515 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Adjusted EBITDA margin
    22.5%
    high materiality
    High
    Adjusted free cash flow
    $790 million to $810 million
    high materiality
    High
    Capital expenditures
    ~4% of net sales
    high materiality
    High
    Integration capital expenditures
    $50 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Quarterly dividend
    $0.12 per share
    high materiality
    High
    Share repurchase program remaining authorization
    $107 million
    high materiality
    High
    Direct delivery business growth
    transition to top line growth
    medium materiality
    High
    Consolidated retail channels growth
    growth
    medium materiality
    High
    Customer net adds
    return to positive
    medium materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    5
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Direct Delivery
    Q4 decline of 5.3% represents an improvement from the 6.5% decline in Q3. FY25 net sales were down 3.2% largely due to lower volume related to integration issues.
    FY25 Net Sales Decline: 3.2%
    -5.3%-6.5% (Q3)
    Retail
    FY25 net sales were up 0.9%, driven by strength in the mass channel and continued momentum from premium brands.
    FY25 Net Sales Growth: 0.9%
    Mass
    FY25 net sales were up 0.9%.
    FY25 Net Sales Growth: 0.9%
    Away-from-home
    FY25 net sales were up 1.2%.
    FY25 Net Sales Growth: 1.2%
    Premium Brands (Saratoga and Mountain Valley)
    Combined net sales for these brands increased 44% in FY25 and 39% in Q4, driven by strong demand in retail and away-from-home.
    FY25 Net Sales Growth: 44%
    39%

    Operational metrics

    26
    Comparable net sales
    $1.554 billiondown 2.5% YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Comparable net sales for the fourth quarter.

    Comparable net sales
    $6.660 billiondown 1% YoY
    FY25

    Comparable net sales for the full year 2025.

    Volume decrease
    2.9%
    Q4 FY25

    Volume decrease contributing to Q4 net sales decline.

    Price or mix increase
    0.4%
    Q4 FY25

    Price or mix increase partially offsetting Q4 volume decline.

    Volume decrease
    0.6%
    FY25

    Volume decrease contributing to FY25 net sales decline.

    Price or mix decrease
    0.4%
    FY25

    Price or mix decrease contributing to FY25 net sales decline.

    Comparable adjusted EBITDA
    $334.1 millionup 11%
    Q4 FY25

    Comparable adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter.

    Comparable adjusted EBITDA
    $1.447 billionup 7.4%
    FY25

    Comparable adjusted EBITDA for the full year 2025.

    Net sales headwind from Leap Day
    $17.6 million
    FY25

    Impact of Leap Day 2024 on 2025 net sales.

    Net sales headwind from Hawkins tornado
    $27.4 million
    FY25

    Impact of Hawkins tornado disruptions on 2025 net sales.

    Office coffee services business impact on sales decline
    40 bps
    FY25

    Contribution of the exited office coffee services business to the 1% full-year sales decline.

    Year-end debt capital (gross)
    $5.2 billion
    FY25

    Total debt capital at year-end, gross of deferred financing costs and discounts.

    Liquidity
    $990 million
    FY25

    Total liquidity at year-end, including cash balance and unused line of credit.

    Net leverage ratio
    3.37x
    FY25

    Net leverage ratio at year-end.

    Capital expenditures (excluding integration and Hawkins)
    $245.7 million
    FY25

    Capital expenditures for growth and maintenance, excluding integration and natural disaster related spend.

    Adjusted free cash flow conversion
    51.9%
    FY25

    Adjusted free cash flow divided by adjusted EBITDA.

    Total capital expenditures
    $434.4 million
    FY25

    Total capital expenditures for the full year, including integration and Hawkins-related spend.

    Integration capital expenditures
    $151.5 million
    FY25

    Integration-related capital expenditures for the full year.

    Hawkins-related capital expenditures
    $37 million
    FY25

    Capital expenditures related to the natural disaster at Hawkins.

    Share repurchases under program
    $193 million
    FY25

    Amount of stock repurchased under the Board's $300 million authorization.

    Share repurchases from One Rock affiliates
    $214 million
    FY25

    Amount of shares repurchased from entities affiliated with One Rock, prior to establishing the share repurchase program.

    Office coffee services 2025 net sales
    $25.5 million
    FY25

    Net sales contributed by the office coffee services business in 2025 before its exit.

    Comparable 2025 ending net sales (ex-OCS)
    $6.635 billion
    FY25

    Adjusted 2025 net sales base for establishing 2026 guidance, excluding the exited office coffee services business.

    Q1 2026 sales growth comparison
    3%YoY sales growth
    Q1 FY25

    The company faces a difficult first quarter comparison in 2026, cycling 3% year-over-year sales growth from Q1 2025.

    EBITDA growth vs. net sales growth
    in excess of midpoint net sales guidance
    FY26

    Expected EBITDA growth for 2026 relative to net sales guidance, benefiting from productivity and synergies.

    Quarterly dividend per share
    $0.1220% increase
    Ongoing

    Board authorized quarterly dividend, representing a 20% increase.

    Industry KPIs

    8
    MetricValueDetails
    Category brand shareLeader
    EPS organic EPS growth
    Gross operating margin21.5%%
    Organic revenue growth0% to 1%%
    Unit case volume growth-2.9%%
    Energy functional category healthStructural tailwinds
    Pack architecture pricing actionsStrategic and holistic
    Cold drink equipment distribution reachExpanding

    Capital programs

    6
    Saratoga capacity expansionon track

    Investments in capacity coming online across the first half of 2026 to support premium brand growth.

    New Mountain Valley facilityon track

    Investments in capacity coming online across the first half of 2026 to support premium brand growth.

    Warehouse management system implementationunderway

    Benefit: superior supply chain execution from product supply to in-branch inventory

    Initiative to improve customer experience in direct delivery.

    System harmonization and digital experienceunderway

    Benefit: better management tools, data analytics and insights as well as improve our digital and app experience for our customers

    Following completion of integration rounds, focus will be on harmonizing systems.

    Call center redesignunderway

    Benefit: elevate satisfaction throughout the customer experience, improved digital opportunities and leveraging AI to more quickly serve and solve customer issues

    Envisioning a new approach to the call center to improve customer service.

    Integration rounds (final 2)nearing completion$100 million
    Period spend: $50 million

    Benefit: full integration of operations

    The final two rounds of integration, with one completed last weekend and the last one closer to the end of Q1 2026. $50 million of the total $100 million remaining integration capex was carried into 2026.

    Risks & headwinds

    6
    Direct delivery business integration issuesOngoing

    Q4 decline of 5.3%, FY25 decline of 3.2%

    Mitigation: Implementing new WMS, system harmonization, 'Solve by Sundown' program, AI in call centers, and increased investments in route labor and customer win-back initiatives.

    Leap Day 2024 impactFY25

    $17.6 million net sales headwind

    Hawkins tornado disruptionsFY25

    $27.4 million net sales headwind

    Exit of office coffee services businessFY25

    40 bps impact on FY25 1% sales decline, $25.5 million in 2025 net sales

    Difficult Q1 2026 sales comparisonQ1 FY26

    cycling 3% YoY sales growth

    Mitigation: Expect comparable trend to improve over the balance of the year, with growth weighted to H2.

    Severe winter weatherEarly Q1 FY26

    a little bit of a headwind, but not overly significant

    Mitigation: Proactive response by teams to get ahead of the weather impact.

    What to watch in Q1 FY26

    5

    Direct delivery business growth

    H2 FY26
    CurrentQ4 decline of 5.3%
    Targettransition to top line growth

    Why it matters

    The direct delivery business is a key component of the company's strategy and its return to growth is essential for overall revenue recovery.

    In direct delivery, we expect to transition to top line growth in the second half of the year on trend improvement and as we cycle the onset of the disruptions that began in the second quarter of 2025.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    How did direct delivery KPIs perform exiting the quarter, and should the 0-1% sales guide be viewed as conservative given historical algorithms?

    Management noted significant improvement in supply chain KPIs (forecast accuracy, production, out-of-stocks, truck loading) to high 90s, but OTIF still needs to reach 90%. Customer calls reduced to pre-merger levels, and customer quits/net adds improved. The 2026 guide is focused on getting the business growing again after a down 1% FY25, with growth weighted to H2 due to difficult H1 comps. They are confident in reaching the business's full potential.

    We delivered a down 1% in 2025, not at all where we want this business to perform. There's more work to do on the direct delivery front. But our focus right now is to make sure we get the company growing and we deliver against our financial commitments.

    asked by Derek Lessard · answered by Eric Foss

    2 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Direct Delivery Business Recovery and Initiatives

    The direct delivery business, referred to as 'customer direct,' showed encouraging signs of recovery in Q4 FY25, with continued strength in top-of-the-funnel demand and improved customer net adds, despite remaining negative. Key performance indicators such as supply chain accuracy, product production to schedule, elimination of warehouse out-of-stocks, and on-time truck loading improved dramatically, mostly exceeding 90%. Customer calls reduced to pre-merger levels, and customer quits were lowered. Initiatives for 2026 include implementing a new warehouse management system, harmonizing systems for better data analytics, optimizing the customer journey with a 'Solve by Sundown' program for retention, and leveraging AI in call centers to enhance satisfaction.

    02

    Retail Execution and Brand Strategy

    Primo Brands aims to drive executional excellence at retail by increasing its presence across stores, focusing on feature frequency, display inventory, shelf space expansion, and cold drink penetration. The company plans to scale its exchange and refill footprint. The 2026 marketing calendar includes partnerships with Major League Baseball for regional spring waters and high-profile events like the Golden Globes and Academy of Country Music Awards for premium brands Saratoga and Mountain Valley, leveraging consumer passion points to build positive brand perceptions and momentum.

    03

    Premium Brand Growth and Capacity Expansion

    Premium brands Mountain Valley and Saratoga Springs were significant growth contributors, with combined net sales increasing an impressive 44% in FY25. This growth was driven by strong demand in both retail and away-from-home channels. The company is investing in capacity expansion for these brands, with Saratoga's expansion on track for Spring 2026 and a new Mountain Valley facility expected to open midyear 2026. These investments, coupled with marketing campaigns, are expected to continue driving share and distribution for these highly accretive brands.

    04

    Strategic Revenue Management and Productivity

    The company is implementing a more strategic and holistic revenue management approach across price points, package types, and channels. This will involve focusing on SKUs most important to consumers, prioritizing profitable packages and channels, and simplifying production and route to market. Beyond pricing, margin expansion will be driven by ongoing cost and productivity initiatives across the supply chain, including increased facility automation, improved warehouse management, and reducing SKU complexity, alongside an efficient SG&A structure.

    05

    Disciplined Capital Allocation and Shareholder Returns

    Primo Brands maintains a disciplined approach to capital allocation, balancing investments in brands, innovation, supply chain, and commercial operations with efforts to reduce its net leverage ratio. The company plans to return cash to shareholders through both dividend growth and share repurchases. The Board authorized a 20% increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.12 per share, annualizing to $0.48 per share. Additionally, approximately $107 million remains available under the $300 million share repurchase program authorization.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.