Detailed Narrative
Fiber First Strategy Success
Shentel's Fiber First strategy, initiated with early investment in fiber-to-the-home starting in 2019 and expansion through the Horizon acquisition, is yielding strong results. Fiber businesses now account for 51% of consolidated revenue, reflecting successful residential and commercial growth and leveraging strategic proximity to major data center hubs in Ashburn, Virginia, and Columbus, Ohio.
Glow Fiber Expansion and Penetration
The company achieved a record 6,200 Glow Fiber net additions, surpassing 100,000 data customers with 31.3% year-over-year growth. Construction is 93% complete for target Glow Fiber passings, with 475,000 total passings and 21.1% penetration, up 93 basis points year-over-year. Most mature cohorts launched during the two years ending in Q3 2021 have surpassed the five-year mark and currently average 35% penetration, providing confidence in reaching the 37% objective.
Commercial Fiber Momentum
Commercial fiber saw incremental monthly sales bookings exceeding $180,000 and new monthly revenue installations of $209,000. This growth is driven by strong demand from enterprise customers, wireless carriers, wholesale clients, and school systems. The business maintains a very low average monthly compression and disconnect churn of 0.4%, reflecting strong customer support and service delivery.
Incumbent Market Dynamics and Pricing Strategy
Incumbent broadband markets experienced a modest decline of less than 1% year-over-year in data customers and a faster decline in RGUs due to video subscriber losses to streaming services. A new rate card introduced in rural markets, while reducing ARPU by an additional 1.6%, has already improved satellite-related churn and is expected to drive higher growth ads and further churn improvement over the coming quarters. Approximately 35% of the incumbent footprint faces wired competition.
Financial Performance and Outlook
Consolidated revenue increased 5.5% to $93.5 million, and adjusted EBITDA grew 12.9% to $32 million, with an incremental adjusted EBITDA margin of 73%. The company reiterates its FY26 guidance for revenue ($370M-$377M), adjusted EBITDA ($131M-$136M), and net CapEx ($220M-$250M). Shentel expects to achieve positive and growing free cash flow in 2027 and beyond, driven by EBITDA growth, declining capital intensity, and lower cost of capital.
Data Center Opportunity Progress
Shentel is making progress on its data center opportunity, having a master service agreement in place with a major hyperscaler. The company's existing fiber and conduit in close proximity to data centers provide a strategic advantage, enabling service provision with potentially less significant capital investment compared to other providers.