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SMSM

What SM Energy promised, and what happened

Guidance Tracker · every commitment management made on a call, tracked from the quarter it was made

Guidance

What management said, and what became of it

12 of 14 judged targets kept · 14 open · verdicts reflect calls analysed to Jun 2026.

TargetOriginal wordingSaidLatest callVerdict
Commencement of post-merger share buybacksBegin repurchasing shares in Q2 FY26Mar 2026Jun 2026:we also repurchased $84 million of shares this quarter under our capital return framework.
Call transcript, Jun 2026 · no direct link
Achieved
Second-half FY2026 production run rate420,000 to 430,000 BOE/day at 55% oilDec 2025Jun 2026:We are raising our second half production outlook to a range of 435,000 to 440,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day with oil at approximately 238,000 barrels per day.
Call transcript, Jun 2026 · no direct link
Revised Up
Civitas merger cost synergy capture$200 million to $300 million in run-rate synergiesDec 2025Jun 2026:we have now actioned approximately $355 million of our $375 million run rate synergy target, which we raised last quarter to nearly double the original.
Call transcript, Jun 2026 · no direct link
On Track

A verdict describes what became of management’s own words in later analysed calls. “Delayed” is a change of date, “went quiet” a target the calls stopped mentioning. None of it is a judgement on the investment. The methodology sets out how verdicts are recorded.

The full ledger

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The rest of the ledger

Pro opens all 28 tracked commitments for SM Energy

Above is what the last two calls moved. Pro adds every quarter's revision, the source quote behind each one, and the topics management has stopped answering.