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    Shri Keshav

    530977
    Construction Materials·14 Feb 2025
    Management Summary

    Shri Keshav Cements & Infra Ltd. reported strong sequential growth in Q3 FY25, driven by operational efficiencies and its 100% green energy model, despite continued pricing pressure in the Southern market. The company completed its CAPEX for a new kiln, which is set to become operational by March 2025, aiming to significantly improve cost structures and profitability. Management is optimistic about future demand, driven by government infrastructure spending, and is focused on enhancing market share and operational metrics.

    Highlights

    7
    • EBITDA surged 88% quarter-on-quarter to ₹7.38 crores.

    • Total income increased 14% quarter-on-quarter to ₹29.04 crores.

    • EBITDA margin for Q3 FY25 stood at 26.26%.

    • PAT for Q3 FY25 was ₹0.64 crores, with an EPS of ₹0.36.

    • Solar generation improved 10.4% quarter-on-quarter.

    • Cement dispatch volumes for Q3 FY25 were 58,960 tons, a 14% YoY decline.

    • New kiln CAPEX completed, expected to be operational by March 2025, increasing capacity to 1 MTPA.

    Concerns

    3
    • Pricing pressure and low realization in Southern India

    • Industry overcapacity and competitive pressure

    • Unsustainable current cement prices

    What Changed1

    vs Q4 FY25

    Guidance items11 → 7 (-4)

    Key financials

    Single quarter

    07 metrics
    1. 01Total Income₹29.04 Cr+14.0%QoQ
    2. 02EBITDA₹7.38 Cr+88%QoQ
    3. 03EBITDA Margin26.3%
    4. 04PAT₹0.64 Cr
    5. 05EPS₹0.36

    Capital allocation

    1
    medium confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    Capex disclosed

    Guidance & targets

    7
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Capacity
    New Kiln Operational Status
    Operational
    High
    Capacity
    New Plant Capacity Utilization
    50%
    High
    Capacity
    Solar Capacity Expansion Decision
    Decision to be announced
    High
    Capacity
    Total Cement Capacity
    1 million ton
    High
    Profitability
    Cement EBITDA per ton
    ~Rs. 422 or better
    Medium
    Revenue
    Total Income
    Last year's level or slightly higher
    Medium
    Volume
    Cement Dispatches Growth
    Growing
    Medium

    What to watch in Q4 FY25

    4

    New Kiln Operational Status

    March 2025
    CurrentCAPEX completed, switchover process to begin
    TargetKiln fully operational

    Why it matters

    Successful commissioning is expected to significantly improve EBITDA margins and reduce fuel/power costs, crucial for overall profitability.

    The CAPEX is complete. It's just that we have to switch over to the new kiln by March.

    Risks & concerns

    4
    RiskSeverity

    Pricing pressure and low realization in Southern India

    Realizations in the South were hit harder, leading to cement-specific EBITDA margins of less than Rs. 50 per ton, significantly lower than industry peers.Management acknowledged

    high

    Operational teething issues with new kiln

    New machinery typically faces initial hiccups, which might affect operations post-commissioning.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Industry overcapacity and competitive pressure

    Increased capacities across the industry and ongoing consolidation are leading to pressure on EBITDA margins as players compete for market share.Management acknowledged

    high

    Unsustainable current cement prices

    Current cement prices are not sustainable, indicating potential for volatility or necessary price corrections.Management acknowledged

    high

    Q&A highlights

    8

    “It is mainly because of very less net realization that we are getting, particularly in South, which is affecting our PAT margins. ... the EBITDA margin exclusively on cement, what the major plants are generating is upwards of Rs. 700 to 800 whereas in our cases it is less than Rs. 50.”

    Highlights the specific challenge of low cement-specific realization and its impact on PAT, despite overall EBITDA growth driven by solar.

    asked by Sanjay Shah

    2 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q3 FY25 Performance Overview

    Shri Keshav Cements & Infra Ltd. reported a strong sequential performance in Q3 FY25, with EBITDA surging 88% quarter-on-quarter to ₹7.38 crores, achieving an EBITDA margin of 26.26%. Total income for the quarter increased by 14% QoQ to ₹29.04 crores. However, cement dispatch volumes for Q3 FY25 were 58,960 tons, representing a 14% year-on-year decline from 68,610 tons in Q3 FY24. Net profit stood at ₹0.64 crores, with an EPS of ₹0.36. For the nine months ended December 31, 2024, total income was ₹85.64 crores, and EBITDA was ₹20.17 crores, with a margin of 24.29%.

    02

    Strategic Focus: Renewable Energy & Cost Efficiency

    The company maintains its commitment to renewable energy, meeting 100% of its energy needs through solar power since April 2018, which has led to a 75-80% reduction in power costs. Solar generation improved by 10.4% QoQ in Q3 FY25, partly due to a new 3 MW addition in August 2024. Management emphasized that their overall EBITDA margins are among the highest in the cement industry, largely attributable to their solar initiatives, which significantly offset the lower cement-specific margins (less than ₹50 per ton).

    03

    Cement Market Dynamics & Pricing Pressure

    The cement sector experienced challenging conditions in Q1 and Q2 FY25 due to elections and monsoons, resulting in 'very bad realization,' particularly in the Southern market. The naked cement price in Q3 FY25 was ₹3,302, an 8% reduction from ₹3,761 in Q3 FY24, and a 1% QoQ decline. While Q3 saw prices stabilize, Q4 has shown improved volumes. Management anticipates better price discipline and realization to improve by FY26 end, noting that current prices are 'definitely not sustainable' given industry overcapacity and competitive pressures.

    04

    Capacity Expansion & Operational Outlook

    Shri Keshav Cements has completed the CAPEX for a new kiln, which is expected to be operational by March 2025, increasing total capacity to 1 million tons per annum. The commissioning was strategically delayed from January to March to avoid disrupting dispatches during a period of high capacity utilization (90-95%). Management projects a 50% utilization rate for the new capacity by FY26 end, anticipating significant improvements in PAT margins and reductions in fuel and power consumption once the new kiln is fully operational.

    05

    Market Strategy & Future Growth

    The company is actively pursuing strategies to enhance market share and capitalize on government-led infrastructure development. Initiatives include hiring top talent, expanding dealer networks, engaging with institutions, and implementing digital marketing. Management aims to achieve cement-specific EBITDA margins comparable to or better than other South-based players, which currently average around ₹422 per ton. They are also considering further solar capacity expansion, with a decision expected by the next quarter, to further strengthen their competitive advantage.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.