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    UFLEX Limited

    UFLEX
    Capital Goods·16 Feb 2026
    Management Summary

    Uflex reported a mixed Q3 FY26, with revenue declining YoY due to macro headwinds like US tariff uncertainties and GST transition, impacting volume and pricing. However, profitability showed sequential improvement with normalized EBITDA margin expanding 200 bps QoQ to 12.1%. The company is nearing commissioning of three major projects in Egypt, India, and Mexico, which are expected to drive future growth and improve leverage through enhanced EBITDA. Management expressed confidence in market recovery and achieving FY26 EBITDA guidance.

    Highlights

    5
    • 9M FY26 PAT of ₹1,210 million, a significant turnaround from a loss of ₹263 million in the prior year.

    • Q3 FY26 Normalized EBITDA increased 12.8% QoQ to ₹4,395 million, with margin expanding 200 bps QoQ to 12.1%.

    • Aseptic packaging volumes showed steady growth, up 2.3% YoY in Q3 FY26 to 1.8 billion packs and 4.4% YoY in 9M FY26 to 5.9 billion packs.

    • Three major capacity expansion projects in Egypt, India, and Mexico are expected to be commissioned within the next 90 days, poised to drive future EBITDA growth.

    • Market conditions for packaging films are showing signs of reversal, with BOPET prices recovering to ~₹110/kg and BOPP prices improving to ~₹120-121/kg.

    Concerns

    3
    • Q3 FY26 Revenue declined 3.8% YoY to ₹36,329 million, attributed to volume softness and import-related pricing pressure.

    • 9M FY26 Normalized EBITDA decreased 9.6% YoY to ₹13,000 million, with a margin of 11.4%.

    • Capacity utilization in some overseas markets like Poland, Hungary, and Mexico experienced a sharp dip in Q3 FY26, with Poland at 56.7%.

    What Changed1

    vs Q4 FY26

    Guidance items4 → 9 (+5)
    Key financials

    Metrics

    10

    Periods

    2

    Q3 FY26

    5
    • Revenue
      36,329 Mn
      YoY-3.8%
    • Normalized EBITDA
      4,395 Mn
      QoQ+12.8%
    • Normalized EBITDA Margin
      12.1%
    • PAT
      361 Mn
      QoQ+34%
    • EPS
      ₹5.01

    9M

    5
    • FY26 Revenue
      1,14,157 Mn
      YoY+0.8%
    • FY26 Reported EBITDA
      13,571 Mn
      YoY0%
    • FY26 Normalized EBITDA
      13,000 Mn
      YoY-9.6%
    • FY26 Normalized EBITDA Margin
      11.4%
    • FY26 PAT
      1,210 Mn

    Segment breakdown

    Aseptic Packaging Volumes
    1.8 billion packs Q3 FY26 Volume5.9 billion packs 9M FY26 Volume
    List

    Capital allocation

    2
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    Capex disclosed

    Debt

    Net ₹8,000 crores

    Cost 6.9%

    Guidance & targets

    9
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Volume
    Aseptic packaging total sales volume
    8.5 billion packs
    High
    Volume
    Aseptic packaging total sales volume
    Significant improvement from 8.5 billion packs
    Medium
    Margin
    FY26 EBITDA margin
    ~12%
    High
    Margin
    FY27 EBITDA margin
    >12%
    Medium
    Margin
    Margin from 3 new plants (full capacity)
    high-teens (if not 20%)
    Medium
    Profitability
    FY26 EBITDA
    ₹1,800-1,850 crore
    High
    Capacity Utilization
    Egypt aseptic plant utilization
    ~80%
    Medium
    Capacity Utilization
    Panipat PET plant utilization
    ~85-90%
    Medium
    Revenue
    Incremental revenue from 3 new plants (full capacity)
    ₹2,000-2,500 crore
    Medium

    What to watch in Q4 FY26

    5

    Commissioning of Egypt aseptic, Noida recycling, Mexico WPP bag plants

    Within 90 days (current to next quarter)
    CurrentNearing commissioning
    TargetOperational

    Why it matters

    These projects are key for future revenue, EBITDA, and deleveraging.

    I think I can say that between the current and the next quarter we should see these three projects being commissioned, give and take a few months here and there, but I expect that between now and end of the first quarter, we should have all these three projects up and running.

    Risks & concerns

    2
    RiskSeverity

    Macroeconomic headwinds (US tariff-related uncertainty, GST transition in India)

    Impacted Q3 performance, leading to volume softness and pricing pressure, though trends are now reversing.Management acknowledged

    high

    High debt levels

    Analysts expressed concern about increasing debt; management stated leverage has peaked and will moderate with EBITDA improvement.Analyst acknowledged

    medium

    Q&A highlights

    7

    “what I can say is that we see this leverage ratio, which is at the current level, more or less being at the peak. And so far as no reduction of that, it will be an interplay of overall repayment which, in fact, is during the year. And at the same time, EBITDA improvement will lead to this leveraging coming more under moderation is what I can say.”

    Analysts are concerned about high debt levels and previous unfulfilled promises. Management indicates debt has peaked and will moderate with EBITDA improvement, but doesn't give a specific debt reduction timeline.

    asked by Aman Kumar

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q3 FY26 Financial Performance Overview

    Uflex reported a Q3 FY26 revenue of ₹36,329 million, a 3.8% decline year-on-year, primarily due to volume softness and import-related pricing pressures. Despite this, the company achieved a normalized EBITDA of ₹4,395 million, marking a 12.8% sequential growth. The normalized EBITDA margin expanded by 200 basis points quarter-on-quarter to 12.1%, reflecting improved operational discipline. Profit After Tax (PAT) for the quarter stood at ₹361 million, up 34% sequentially, with EPS at ₹5.01 per share.

    02

    Nine-Month FY26 Performance and Turnaround

    For the first nine months of FY26, Uflex's revenue reached ₹114,157 million, a modest 0.8% increase year-on-year. Normalized EBITDA for this period was ₹13,000 million, down 9.6% YoY, with a margin of 11.4%. A significant turnaround was observed in PAT, which moved to a positive ₹1,210 million compared to a loss of ₹263 million in the corresponding period last year, supported by lower exceptional impacts. This indicates a recovery trajectory despite earlier challenges.

    03

    Aseptic Packaging Business Growth and Expansion

    The aseptic liquid packaging business demonstrated steady growth, with volumes increasing by 2.3% year-on-year in Q3 FY26 to 1.8 billion packs. For the nine-month period, volumes grew 4.4% to 5.9 billion packs. The company expects this momentum to continue, projecting a total sales volume of approximately 8.5 billion packs for the current fiscal year (FY26). This growth is reinforced by the nearing commissioning of a 12 billion packs expansion in Egypt and an extra 5 billion packs capacity in India, expected to drive significant improvement in FY27.

    04

    Strategic Project Commissioning and Future Outlook

    Uflex is on the verge of commissioning three major projects: a 12 billion packs aseptic liquid packaging facility in Egypt, a 40,000 tons recycling plant in India, and an 80 billion bag production capacity woven polypropylene bag plant in Mexico. These projects are expected to be operational within the next 90 days. Management anticipates these new capacities, coupled with improving market conditions, will significantly boost EBITDA and lead to a moderation in the company's leverage ratio, which is currently perceived to be at its peak.

    05

    Market Dynamics and Film Business Recovery

    The packaging films business faced headwinds in Q3 FY26 due to US tariff-related uncertainties and a reorientation of exports, leading to supply gluts and pricing pressure in European and MENA markets. However, management noted signs of reversal, with BOPET film prices recovering from ₹90/kg to around ₹110/kg and BOPP film prices improving to ₹120-121/kg. The company expects capacity utilization in overseas plants like Poland, Hungary, and Mexico to normalize to over 80% in the coming fiscal year.

    06

    Debt Management and Cost of Funds

    The company's net debt stands at ₹8,000 crore, with current maturities for the next year estimated at ₹1,450-1,500 crore. Management believes the leverage ratio has peaked and expects it to improve with enhanced EBITDA from new projects. The blended cost of funds is currently around 6.9-7% and is anticipated to decrease further. Remaining capex of approximately ₹1,200 crore, combined with debt repayments, is expected to largely offset each other, preventing significant additions to the overall debt.

    07

    Focus on Value-Added Products and EPR Initiatives

    Uflex is strategically focusing on value-added products within its packaging film portfolio, including metallized ALOx and ultra-high barrier films, which offer better realizations. The company is also a key player in Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR) initiatives, with significant investments in recycling capacity. While EPR guidelines have been extended, Uflex expects to be an early beneficiary of their eventual implementation, driving increased utilization and potentially improving margins through its renewable mix.

    This is an AI-generated summary of a publicly available earnings call transcript. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement. inve.money is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.