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    Hindustan Oil Exploration Company Limited

    HINDOILEXP
    Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels·29 May 2025
    Management Summary

    Hindustan Oil Exploration Company Limited reported a mixed Q4 FY25, marked by significant progress in drilling and asset acquisition, particularly in Kharsang and B-80. However, production from Dirok and B-80 faced headwinds due to demand constraints and operational issues, respectively, leading to a decline in consolidated EBITDA for FY25. The company is actively pursuing drilling campaigns and legal avenues to unlock asset value, while managing oil inventory for better price realization.

    Highlights

    5
    • Environmental clearance for 40 development wells and 3 exploration wells in Kharsang Block in Arunachal Pradesh obtained on February 28, 2025.

    • First well in Kharsang drilled, tested, completed, and hooked up for production, yielding about 200 barrels of oil per day.

    • Acquired the remaining 40% interest in the B-80 block, now holding 100% interest.

    • New term sheet with GAIL for PY-1 gas at a PPAC price of about US$6.75 per mmbtu, significantly higher than the previous USD 3.66 per mmbtu.

    • Net debt is zero, and India Ratings reaffirmed 'IND A' rating with a revised outlook from 'Stable' to 'Positive' for the INR 500 crores bank loan.

    Concerns

    5
    • Dirok gas sales restricted to 15.57 mmscfd in Q4 FY25 due to lack of demand and delayed North-Eastern Gas Grid connectivity.

    • B-80 production declined in Q4 FY25 to 60,544 barrels of oil and 0.44 Bcf of gas due to a valve malfunction.

    • Consolidated EBITDA for FY25 decreased to INR 249 crores from INR 326 crores in FY24.

    • PY-3 interest (21% participating) is under legal dispute with ONGC regarding exclusive operations.

    • 390,000 barrels of oil inventory held in stock due to low oil prices, impacting revenue realization.

    What Changed2

    vs Q1 FY26

    Guidance items15 → 8 (-7)Risks discussed4 → 5 (+1)
    Key financials

    Metrics

    9

    Periods

    2

    Headline

    6
    • Standalone Revenue
      ₹142.61 Cr
      QoQ+83.7%
    • Standalone EBITDA
      ₹148.32 Cr
      QoQ+7.9%
    • Standalone PAT
      ₹147.47 Cr
      YoY+73.5%
    • Consolidated Revenue
      ₹59.58 Cr
      QoQ-61.8%
    • Consolidated EBITDA
      ₹61.86 Cr
      QoQ-20.4%

    Q4

    3
    • Dirok Gas Sales
      15.57 mmscfd
      QoQ-12.6%
    • B-80 Oil Production
      60,544 barrels
      QoQ-31.8%
    • B-80 Gas Production
      0.44 Bcf
      QoQ-36.2%

    Capital allocation

    4
    high confidence
    CategoryHeadline
    Capex

    ₹250 crores

    Debt

    Gross ₹81.67 crores

    M&A

    AEPL's 40% interest in B-80 block

    acquisition · closed · Consideration ₹NaN (cash)

    Liquidity

    Liquidity disclosed

    Currently holding 390,000 barrels of oil in stock, with a storage capacity of 850,000 to 900,000 barrels.

    Guidance & targets

    8
    CategoryTargetPriority
    Production Volume
    Dirok Gas Production
    35-40 mmscfd
    Medium
    Production Volume
    B-80 Production
    11,000 BOEPD
    Medium
    Production Volume
    PY-1 Production per well
    5-6 million cubic feet per day
    Medium
    Project Timeline
    B-15 Production Commencement
    within 30 months
    Medium
    Oil Price Realization
    Crude Oil Selling Price
    USD 70-75 per barrel
    Medium
    Operational Cost
    Minimum Oil Price for Survival (Offshore)
    USD 55 per barrel
    High
    Operational Cost
    Minimum Oil Price for Survival (Onshore)
    USD 40 per barrel
    High
    Debt
    Debt to Market Cap Ratio
    <10%
    High

    What to watch in Q1 FY26

    5

    DNPL Pipeline Connectivity & Dirok Volume Uptake

    Q3 FY26
    CurrentExpected volume uptake from Q3 FY26, common carrier issue pending
    TargetActual volume uptake and resolution of common carrier status

    Why it matters

    Crucial for increasing Dirok gas sales, which are currently demand-constrained.

    We are expecting the DNPL line to be get connected and because you see, every time I commit something, I may be wrong, I will be either way incorrect. So we expect that it should be at least.. the volume uptake should take place from the third quarter.

    Risks & concerns

    5
    RiskSeverity

    Dirok Gas Demand & Connectivity

    Lack of demand and delay in North-Eastern Gas Grid connectivity restricts Dirok production, despite higher potential.Management acknowledged

    high

    B-80 Operational Issues

    Production decline in Q4 FY25 due to a valve malfunction and potential future weather impacts (monsoon) affecting offshore operations.Management acknowledged

    medium

    PY-3 Legal Dispute

    The company's 21% participating interest in PY-3 is under legal dispute with ONGC regarding exclusive operations, potentially delaying value realization.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Crude Oil Price Volatility

    Low crude oil prices prevent the company from selling its 390,000 barrels of oil inventory, impacting immediate revenue realization, though management is holding for better prices.Management acknowledged

    high

    DNPL Common Carrier Status

    Delay in DNPL becoming a common carrier impacts gas evacuation from Dirok, despite expectations for Q3 FY26 volume uptake.Management acknowledged

    medium

    Q&A highlights

    8

    “We are expecting the DNPL line to be get connected and because you see, every time I commit something, I may be wrong, I will be either way incorrect. So we expect that it should be at least.. the volume uptake should take place from the third quarter.”

    Analyst sought clarity on the timeline for increased gas sales from Dirok, which is currently constrained by demand and pipeline connectivity.

    asked by Dhruv Rawani

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    North-Eastern Region Drilling Campaign & Kharsang Development

    Hindustan Oil Exploration Company Limited has secured environmental clearance for drilling 40 development wells and 3 exploration wells in the Kharsang Block, Arunachal Pradesh. The company has commenced the first phase of drilling 9 development wells, with the first well completed and producing approximately 200 barrels of oil per day. The second well is currently being drilled, and the company plans to drill a deep well in North Dirok in Q4 FY26 to assess the full potential of the block. The capital outlay for the North-East region for the next two financial years is projected to be INR 250 crores.

    02

    Dirok Gas Sales & Demand Constraints

    Dirok gas sales in Q4 FY25 were 15.57 million standard cubic feet per day (mmscfd), a decrease from 17.79 mmscfd in the previous quarter. For the full year FY25, average production and sales were 17.76 mmscfd, down from 19.96 mmscfd in FY24. This reduction is primarily due to a lack of demand, despite the field's capacity to produce over 50 mmscfd. The company expects demand constraints to ease once the North-Eastern Gas Grid becomes operational, anticipated in FY26-27, and plans to augment capacity to meet the potential increase in demand.

    03

    B-80 Operational Challenges & 100% Acquisition

    Production from the B-80 block in Q4 FY25 was 60,544 barrels of oil and 0.44 Bcf of gas, a decline from 88,703 barrels of oil and 0.69 Bcf of gas in the previous quarter. This drop was attributed to a valve malfunction that necessitated a temporary shutdown. The company has now acquired the remaining 40% interest from AEPL, giving it 100% ownership of the block. To ensure asset sustenance, the charge model has been shifted from a day rate to a rate per barrel of production, aiming to make all three assets sustainable for a longer period.

    04

    PY-1 Re-evaluation and New Gas Price Regime

    The PY-1 offshore field is undergoing re-evaluation, with Petro Vietnam completing its G&G review, and their suggestions are expected by June 2025. A significant development is the new term sheet with GAIL for a PPAC price of approximately US$6.75 per mmbtu on Gross Calorific Value, replacing the previous USD 3.66 per mmbtu. The company plans to drill 3 wells in PY-1, with the first well expected to commence drilling in the current financial year, targeting 5-6 million cubic feet per day per well.

    05

    PY-3 Legal Dispute and Asset Valuation

    Hindustan Oil Exploration Company Limited maintains a 21% effective participating interest in the PY-3 block, adjacent to PY-1. Despite ONGC's recent notification regarding production from PY-3, HOEC's name was not included, leading to a legal dispute. The company has issued a legal notice to pursue its interest, which includes investments of approximately INR 385 crores, asserting its right to the asset and its contributions to drilling all wells.

    06

    Financial Performance and Debt Management

    For Q4 FY25, standalone revenue increased to INR 142.61 crores from INR 77.64 crores in Q3 FY25, primarily due to the 100% participating interest in B-80. However, consolidated EBITDA for FY25 decreased to INR 249 crores from INR 326 crores in FY24, mainly due to low Dirok offtake, gas price, and lower B-80 production. The company's net debt is currently zero, and it aims to keep future debt levels below 10% of its market capitalization, targeting around INR 200-250 crores for capital programs. India Ratings has reaffirmed its 'IND A' rating and revised its outlook to 'Positive' for the INR 500 crores bank loan.

    07

    Oil Inventory Strategy and Price Realization

    The company is currently holding approximately 390,000 barrels of oil in stock, with a total storage capacity ranging from 850,000 to 900,000 barrels. Management has opted not to sell this inventory at current low crude oil prices, hoping for a better price realization, specifically targeting above USD 70-75 per barrel. The minimum oil price required for offshore operations to remain viable is stated as USD 55 per barrel, while for onshore operations, it is USD 40 per barrel.

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