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Strategy (MSTR) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Jun 2026 (Q2 FY26)· Information Technology· Jul 30, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Strategy Inc Q2 FY26 — Bitcoin Holdings and Digital Credit Expansion

Strategy Inc demonstrated active capital management in Q2 FY26, significantly increasing Bitcoin holdings and strengthening its USD reserves while reducing debt. The company is laser-focused on returning its flagship digital credit product, STRC, to par through strategic buybacks and robust reserve management. Despite market volatility and non-cash losses, the long-term strategy of increasing Bitcoin per share and expanding digital credit remains central.

Highlights

5
  • Bitcoin holdings increased 11% QoQ to 846,000 BTC in Q2 FY26.

  • Net 83,901 Bitcoin acquired in Q2 FY26 at an average price of $75,500.

  • USD reserve increased to $3.75 billion current quarter-to-date, providing over 2 years of dividend and interest coverage.

  • Long-term debt reduced from $8.2 billion to $6.7 billion through a $1.5 billion repurchase at an 8% discount.

  • Bitcoin per share increased 5% QoQ to 210,824 sats in Q2 FY26.

Concerns

3
  • Q2 FY26 operating loss of $8.3 billion and net loss of $8.6 billion due to unrealized fair value loss on Bitcoin holdings.

  • STRC (digital credit product) trading at approximately $89.50, below the target of $99-$100.

  • Unrealized fair value loss of approximately $8.3 billion on Bitcoin holdings at Q2 end.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
STRC Price Target
$99 to $100
high materiality
High
USD Reserve Coverage Target
2 to 3 years
medium materiality
High
USD Reserve Coverage Minimum
1 year
medium materiality
High
Bitcoin Monetization for USD Reserve
Up to $1.25 billion
medium materiality
High
Bitcoin Monetization for Dividend/Interest Payments
$1.6 billion annually
medium materiality
High
Bitcoin Monetization for Repurchase Programs
Up to $2 billion
medium materiality
High
STRC Repurchase Authorization
$1 billion
high materiality
High
MSTR Repurchase Authorization
Up to $1 billion
medium materiality
High
STRC Dividend Rate
12%
medium materiality
High
STRC Return to Par Timeline
Around September 8
high materiality
Medium

Risks & headwinds

AI Capital Expansion Ongoing

$1 trillion+

Mitigation:Expect build-out to settle into equilibrium, turning into a neutral factor or tailwind.

Trade Tensions Ongoing

Unquantified

Mitigation:Expect resolution to become a tailwind for Bitcoin.

Gulf War Disruption Ongoing

Unquantified

Mitigation:Expect de-escalation to be positive for the market.

Fed Policy Past 9 months

Unquantified

Mitigation:Expect policy to become a tailwind with good news.

Regulatory Clarity Delays Ongoing

Unquantified

Mitigation:Expect resolution to be positive for the entire Bitcoin market.

STRC Trading Below Par Current

STRC trading at ~$89.50, below $99-$100 target

Mitigation:Active capital management, USD reserve increase, repurchase programs for STRC, commitment to return to par by September 8.

Bitcoin Price Volatility Q2 FY26

Q2 unrealized fair value loss of $8.3 billion

Mitigation:Focus on long-term drivers, capital allocation, balance sheet strength, digital credit instruments, and increasing Bitcoin per share.

Second-order Credit Contraction June 26

STRC traded down to $70 on June 26

Mitigation:Focus on making STRC stable, liquid, and trading at par to prevent such reflexive contractions from withdrawal of credit lines by TradFi organizations.

What to watch in Q3 FY26

STRC Price Performance

By September 8
Current ~$89.50
Target $99-$100 (par)

Why it matters

Returning STRC to par is a key corporate objective, crucial for the digital credit engine, increasing Bitcoin per share, and overall shareholder value.

If we were to trace forward 70 trading days from when STRC fell out of our trading range, that would put us around September 8. So we're keeping track of that date, and we're keeping track of our progress. We will focus upon returning STRC to health.

Find out whether MSTR delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

Would Strategy Inc consider borrowing against Bitcoin holdings from a bank to increase USD reserves and drive STRC to par, given the importance of USD reserves to retail investors?

Management stated this is not currently on the table. They prefer more straightforward ways to build USD reserves without creating counterparty risks or "attack surfaces" for short sellers, and they aim to progressively reduce existing debt.

“So I think the short answer of it, it's not on the table right now. The company has the option, right, in the future, if we ever needed to use Bitcoin, but we think that right now, it's -- it would be more complicated than it's worth.”

asked by Mark Palmer · answered by Michael Saylor

3 min read 7 chapters

Detailed narrative

Bitcoin Holdings & Strategy

Strategy Inc holds 843,775 Bitcoin, representing approximately 4% of all Bitcoin, with a reserve value of $55 billion and an average purchase price of $75,000. The company aims to increase Bitcoin per share and is the largest institutional holder globally, leading institutional Bitcoin adoption as an operating company with access to capital markets and a digital credit platform.

Analyst Bitcoin price targets average $98,000, with MSTR price targets averaging $296.

Capital Markets Strategy

The company has shifted to active capital management, using common equity, preferreds (STRC), and convertible debt to buy Bitcoin, manage debt, and fund dividends. Year-to-date 2026, Strategy Inc bought 174,895 Bitcoin and sold 3,620 Bitcoin, issuing $7.52 billion of digital credit. Capital issued year-to-date 2026 is $17 billion, with digital credit comprising 44% of total capital issued, up from 28% in 2025.

Digital Credit Framework

The corporate objective is for STRC to trade at $99-$100. Five pillars to strengthen STRC include maintaining a robust USD reserve ($3.75 billion, 2.1 years coverage), Bitcoin monetization for reserves, dividends, and repurchases, and authorized buybacks of up to $1 billion for both STRC and MSTR. The company is committed to keeping the STRC dividend rate at 12%.

Bitcoin Sales & Market Impact

The company clarified its Bitcoin monetization strategy, selling small amounts (0.004% and 0.4% of holdings) to fund USD reserves and dividends. Analysis suggests these sales had minimal impact on Bitcoin price due to high liquidity, with Strategy Inc being a very small participant in selling volume (0.001% and 0.104% of liquidity for the two sales).

The company has $18.5 billion in unrealized Bitcoin losses, equating to a potential $5.4 billion tax benefit.

Credit Product & Valuation

STRC is positioned as a high-yield digital credit product, currently the #1 holding in three major preferred credit indexes. The company aims to return STRC to par, viewing it as a $1 trillion opportunity, and believes its digital credit business is significantly undervalued by the market, with the MSTR price implying a near zero value for the operating business.

The discussion around selling volatility (e.g., warrants at $150-$350 strike prices) highlights the company's focus on simplicity and not fragmenting liquidity.

Long-Term Outperformance

MSTR is built to outperform Bitcoin over the long term, with historical data showing 100% outperformance for 4-year holding periods or longer. Bitcoin has appreciated 33% annually over the past 6 years, while MSTR is up 42%. The company's franchise relies on its capital stack, technology advantage, strong brand, and network effects to achieve its ambition of becoming the world's most valuable company by owning the most capital and issuing the strongest credit.

The total addressable market for capital is estimated at $1,000 trillion, with Bitcoin currently representing 0.1% of that.

Capital Markets Learnings

The company learned the importance of holding liquid USD reserves and avoiding restrictive secured debt or margin calls, upgrading its capital structure since 2022. It now aims for a more balanced approach between USD and BTC holdings, moving away from a historical 98-99% BTC allocation.

Management will actively manage the mix based on market sentiment and Bitcoin's position in its cycle (e.g., premium to 200-week moving average), being more countercyclical at high premiums. The historical STRC price flexed $0.40 in the past, and the company is committed to not selling STRC below par, even by $0.01, to maintain product integrity.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.