Detailed narrative
Market Outlook
The SIDBI MSME policy report indicates improving growth trends in the MSME segment, with the micro sub-segment (Rs.10-15 lakh) showing the healthiest growth of 7%. Other lag indicators like credit enquiry volumes and regional credit activity show a pickup from April 2021 lows. This is seen as favorable for CGCL's key product segments. The company expects a slow but steady return to normalcy in most operating states, with Maharashtra being an exception.
Business Segments
MSME
AUM increased 24% year-on-year. Contributed Rs.1,952 million to restructuring book. Stage-1 portfolio at Rs.1,908 crore (75%), Stage-2 at Rs.298 crore (11.7%), Stage-3 at Rs.144 crore (5.7%).
Outlook: Expected to deliver about +25% growth. Favorable pointers from SIDBI MSME policy report showing 7% growth in Rs.10-15 lakh segment where CGCL operates.
Housing Finance
AUM increased 33% year-on-year. Contributed Rs.86 million to restructuring book. Collection efficiency improved to 95% in Q1 FY22 (from 76% in June'20 and 93% in March'21).
Outlook: Expected to deliver about +22% growth. Good demand seen from June onwards in Tier-3, Tier-4 towns. Leveraging cheaper funds from NHB for salaried class formal segment. No longer funds under-construction projects.
Construction Finance
AUM showed a decline of 10% year-on-year. No restructured accounts in this book.
Outlook: Growth rate shall remain below the headline AUM growth rate, around 10%. Will continue to cater to small developers (average ticket size less than Rs.8 crore) in Tier-3, Tier-4 towns.
Indirect Retail
AUM of 3.2 billion, largely flat quarter-on-quarter, but up three times year-on-year. Inflated due to exposure in loans against securities of 2.6 billion.
Outlook: Loans against securities are short-term deployment and shall run off in H1 FY22.
Third-Party Products (Car Loans)
Initiated distribution in Q4 FY21. Tied up with three leading commercial banks. Achieved disbursal of Rs.100+ crore as of June 2021.
Outlook: Continued to build strong momentum in sourcing. Will utilize branch network and people for distribution.
Competitive Position
CGCL has carved a niche in serving self-employed non-professional customers (small kirana stores, tailoring shops, women-led groups) in Tier-3, Tier-4 towns, who lack formal income proof and are not catered to by FinTechs or traditional banks. Their underwriting relies on a 'touch and technology mix'. The portfolio is secured by collateral (LTV ~50% in MSME, ~57% in Housing Finance), ensuring recovery even in stress scenarios.