Detailed narrative
Market Outlook
Domestic economic activity has improved in Q2 and October trends remain supportive. Key leading indicators (manufacturing/services PMI, electricity demand, auto sales, GST collections) indicate revival to almost pre-COVID levels. Rural and semi-urban India show optimism due to uptick in rural income levels and agri economy doing well. Expect momentum to continue and economic activity to pick up further.
Business Segments
MSME
Collection efficiency improved to 81% (POS) in September 2020, up from 62% in June 2020. Post exclusion of GNPA, collection improved to 84%. Most customers are from tier 3 and tier 4 cities where economic activity has picked up.
Outlook: Optimistic in achieving pre-COVID collection levels by November. Expect activity level to pick up further.
Housing Finance
Collection efficiency improved to 95% (post exclusion of GNPA) in September 2020, up from 76% in June 2020.
Outlook: Very comfortable level.
Construction Finance
Collection efficiency for September 2020 was 92%. Developers are seeing a steady stream of demand from end-users due to state government initiatives (reduced stamp duty) and low interest rates.
Outlook: Expect sales numbers to further pick up post-Diwali. Developer segment is well-placed to return to pre-COVID levels soon.
Indirect Retail Lending
Collection efficiency for September 2020 was 100%.
Outlook: Very comfortable level.
Competitive Position
Gaining market share as many peers are facing a liquidity crunch. Granularity and retail nature of loan assets are assuring to banks, enabling access to incremental liquidity.