Detailed narrative
Market Outlook
Most enterprises in semi-urban and rural areas are already back on track, resuming operations by end of May/June. Major urban centers, epicenters of COVID-19 cases, are expected to normalize📎 by October end. Demand for affordable housing is undented, and this segment is expected to register strong growth. Developers expect demand to return to pre-COVID levels by October-November.
Business Segments
MSME Lending
Key focus area, constituting 51% of the book. Effective moratorium cases (by count) dropped from 45% in April to 28% in June; by POS, from 53% to 38%. Collection efficiency (assuming no moratorium) increased from 47% (POS) in April to 62% (POS) in June. 99 out of 144 branch managers are in tier 3/4 towns with low COVID cases, where business is back to normal.
Outlook: Expected to be a key growth driver. New business sourcing and top-up loans launched for existing, performing customers. Planning to disburse approximately INR 150 crore under ECLGS by October 2020. Expects to reach about 80% business capacity by October end.
Housing Finance
Constituting 23% of the overall portfolio. Effective moratorium cases (by count) dropped from 30% in April to 20% in June; by POS, from 33% to 24%. Collection efficiency (assuming no moratorium) increased from 67% (POS) in April to 76% (POS) in June.
Outlook: Targeting tier 2 and tier 3 cities. Consumer sentiment survey indicates demand for affordable housing is undented post-COVID-19. Expects this segment to continue registering strong growth going forward⏳.
Construction Finance
Constituting 24% of the overall portfolio. Effective moratorium cases (by count) dropped from 50% in April to 35% in June; by POS, from 56% to 46%. About 70% of developers have resumed work at their project sites. Worst affected regions are MMR and Pune, but other centers like Chennai, Vijayawada, Surat, Baroda, Ahmedabad, Jaipur have resumed activity.
Outlook: Caters to small developers (average business size INR 74 million) focusing on affordable housing in tier 3/4 towns. The book is expected to remain at the same level, with absolute growth not anticipated. Repayments will drive new disbursements.
Competitive Position
The granularity and retail nature of Capri Global's loan assets (MSME and affordable housing) are assuring to banks, enabling the company to raise incremental liquidity even when large-ticket size lenders face difficulties. Its strategic focus on mid and small-size developers catering to the affordable housing segment in tier 3/4 towns differentiates it from other financial institutions focused on premium residential demand.